League One · Regular Season - 11
Plymouth 0–2 Huddersfield
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Home Park, Plymouth
PlymouthTeam 1918HuddersfieldTeam 1815We gave Plymouth 51% to win: Huddersfield won.
- 6'Derensili Sanches Fernandes – assist Joe Taylor –Huddersfield:Derensili Sanches Fernandes – assist Joe Taylor –
- Matthew Sorinola – for Jack Mackenzie45'Plymouth:Matthew Sorinola – for Jack Mackenzie
- 55'Bojan Radulovic – assist Bali Mumba –Huddersfield:Bojan Radulovic – assist Bali Mumba –
- Xavier Amaechi – for Ronan Curtis –62'Plymouth:Xavier Amaechi – for Ronan Curtis –
- Tyreeq Bakinson – for Bradley Ibrahim –62'Plymouth:Tyreeq Bakinson – for Bradley Ibrahim –
- Oliver Irow – for Aribim Pepple –63'Plymouth:Oliver Irow – for Aribim Pepple –
- 75'Ashley Fletcher – for Bojan Radulovic –Huddersfield:Ashley Fletcher – for Bojan Radulovic –
- 81'Marcus Harness – for Joe Taylor –Huddersfield:Marcus Harness – for Joe Taylor –
- Jared Rendle for Caleb Watts –90+1'Plymouth:Jared Rendle for Caleb Watts –
Before kick-off (provisional): 51% · 27% · 23%(Plymouth · draw · Huddersfield)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 4%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Plymouth €712K, Huddersfield €644K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (League One): Plymouth ranked #22 of 24, Huddersfield #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Plymouth
1st in League One · 19 pts from 10
- 10 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1900
- 6 OctDNewport County England EFL Trophy1747
- 3 OctWLeyton Orient England League One1895
- 26 SepLBurton Albion England League One1916
- 22 SepWCrystal Palace U21 England EFL Trophy1684
Huddersfield
4th in League One · 16 pts from 9
- 10 OctDSheffield Wednesday England League One1816
- 6 OctWRochdale England EFL Trophy1773
- 3 OctWBurton Albion England League One1798
- 19 SepLBromley England League One1804
- 12 SepDMansfield Town England League One1812
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 19 /10 | 79.4 | 44% | 82% | 0% | 1st |
| Huddersfield | 16 /9 | 69.1 | 6% | 34% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Plymouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1970
Huddersfield · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1850
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Plymouth: direct (how Tom Cleverley plays) · Huddersfield: balanced profile (how Liam Manning plays)