NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

League One · Regular Season - 10

Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Home Park, Plymouth

Plymouth crestPlymouthTeam 1917
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
AFC Wimbledon crestAFC WimbledonTeam 1689

Match story

Plymouth · draw · AFC Wimbledon

Before kick-off: 62% · 22% · 16%

Live chances: Plymouth 99%, draw 1%, AFC Wimbledon 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Plymouth 62%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%2' · 0–0 · Plymouth 62%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%3' · 0–0 · Plymouth 62%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%4' · 0–0 · Plymouth 62%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%5' · 0–0 · Plymouth 61%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%6' · 0–0 · Plymouth 61%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%7' · 0–0 · Plymouth 61%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 16%8' · 0–0 · Plymouth 61%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 16%9' · 0–0 · Plymouth 61%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 17%10' · 0–0 · Plymouth 60%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 17%11' · 0–0 · Plymouth 60%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 17%12' · 0–0 · Plymouth 60%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 17%13' · 0–0 · Plymouth 60%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 17%14' · 0–0 · Plymouth 59%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 17%15' · 0–0 · Plymouth 59%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 17%16' · 0–0 · Plymouth 59%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 17%17' · 0–1 · Plymouth 39%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 35%18' · 0–1 · Plymouth 39%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 35%19' · 0–1 · Plymouth 39%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 36%20' · 0–1 · Plymouth 38%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 36%21' · 0–1 · Plymouth 38%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 36%22' · 0–1 · Plymouth 37%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 36%23' · 0–1 · Plymouth 37%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 37%24' · 0–1 · Plymouth 36%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 37%25' · 0–1 · Plymouth 36%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 37%26' · 1–1 · Plymouth 56%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 17%27' · 1–1 · Plymouth 56%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 17%28' · 1–1 · Plymouth 56%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 17%29' · 1–1 · Plymouth 55%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 18%30' · 1–1 · Plymouth 55%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 18%32' · 1–1 · Plymouth 54%, draw 28%, AFC Wimbledon 18%34' · 1–1 · Plymouth 54%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 18%35' · 1–1 · Plymouth 53%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 18%36' · 1–1 · Plymouth 53%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 18%37' · 1–1 · Plymouth 53%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 18%38' · 1–1 · Plymouth 52%, draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 18%39' · 1–1 · Plymouth 52%, draw 30%, AFC Wimbledon 18%40' · 1–1 · Plymouth 52%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 18%41' · 1–1 · Plymouth 51%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 18%42' · 1–1 · Plymouth 51%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 18%43' · 1–1 · Plymouth 51%, draw 32%, AFC Wimbledon 18%44' · 1–1 · Plymouth 50%, draw 32%, AFC Wimbledon 18%45' · 1–1 · Plymouth 50%, draw 32%, AFC Wimbledon 18%45+1' · 1–1 · Plymouth 49%, draw 33%, AFC Wimbledon 18%45+2' · 1–1 · Plymouth 49%, draw 33%, AFC Wimbledon 18%45+3' · 1–1 · Plymouth 49%, draw 34%, AFC Wimbledon 18%HT · 1–1 · Plymouth 48%, draw 34%, AFC Wimbledon 18%46' · 1–1 · Plymouth 48%, draw 34%, AFC Wimbledon 18%47' · 1–1 · Plymouth 48%, draw 34%, AFC Wimbledon 18%48' · 1–1 · Plymouth 47%, draw 35%, AFC Wimbledon 18%49' · 1–1 · Plymouth 47%, draw 35%, AFC Wimbledon 18%50' · 1–1 · Plymouth 46%, draw 36%, AFC Wimbledon 18%51' · 1–1 · Plymouth 46%, draw 36%, AFC Wimbledon 18%52' · 1–1 · Plymouth 45%, draw 37%, AFC Wimbledon 18%53' · 1–1 · Plymouth 45%, draw 38%, AFC Wimbledon 18%54' · 1–1 · Plymouth 44%, draw 38%, AFC Wimbledon 18%55' · 1–1 · Plymouth 44%, draw 39%, AFC Wimbledon 18%56' · 1–1 · Plymouth 43%, draw 40%, AFC Wimbledon 17%57' · 1–1 · Plymouth 42%, draw 40%, AFC Wimbledon 17%58' · 1–1 · Plymouth 42%, draw 41%, AFC Wimbledon 17%59' · 1–1 · Plymouth 41%, draw 42%, AFC Wimbledon 17%60' · 1–1 · Plymouth 40%, draw 42%, AFC Wimbledon 17%61' · 1–1 · Plymouth 40%, draw 43%, AFC Wimbledon 17%62' · 1–1 · Plymouth 39%, draw 44%, AFC Wimbledon 17%63' · 1–1 · Plymouth 39%, draw 45%, AFC Wimbledon 17%64' · 1–1 · Plymouth 38%, draw 46%, AFC Wimbledon 17%65' · 1–1 · Plymouth 37%, draw 46%, AFC Wimbledon 16%66' · 1–1 · Plymouth 36%, draw 47%, AFC Wimbledon 16%67' · 1–1 · Plymouth 36%, draw 48%, AFC Wimbledon 16%69' · 1–1 · Plymouth 34%, draw 50%, AFC Wimbledon 16%70' · 1–1 · Plymouth 34%, draw 51%, AFC Wimbledon 15%71' · 1–1 · Plymouth 33%, draw 52%, AFC Wimbledon 15%72' · 1–1 · Plymouth 32%, draw 53%, AFC Wimbledon 15%73' · 1–1 · Plymouth 31%, draw 54%, AFC Wimbledon 15%74' · 1–1 · Plymouth 30%, draw 55%, AFC Wimbledon 14%75' · 1–1 · Plymouth 29%, draw 56%, AFC Wimbledon 14%76' · 1–1 · Plymouth 29%, draw 58%, AFC Wimbledon 14%77' · 1–1 · Plymouth 28%, draw 59%, AFC Wimbledon 14%78' · 1–1 · Plymouth 27%, draw 60%, AFC Wimbledon 13%79' · 1–1 · Plymouth 26%, draw 62%, AFC Wimbledon 13%80' · 1–1 · Plymouth 25%, draw 63%, AFC Wimbledon 12%81' · 1–1 · Plymouth 24%, draw 64%, AFC Wimbledon 12%82' · 1–1 · Plymouth 22%, draw 66%, AFC Wimbledon 11%83' · 1–1 · Plymouth 21%, draw 68%, AFC Wimbledon 11%84' · 1–1 · Plymouth 20%, draw 69%, AFC Wimbledon 11%85' · 1–1 · Plymouth 19%, draw 71%, AFC Wimbledon 10%86' · 1–1 · Plymouth 18%, draw 73%, AFC Wimbledon 9%87' · 1–1 · Plymouth 17%, draw 75%, AFC Wimbledon 9%88' · 1–1 · Plymouth 15%, draw 77%, AFC Wimbledon 8%89' · 1–1 · Plymouth 14%, draw 79%, AFC Wimbledon 7%90' · 1–1 · Plymouth 12%, draw 81%, AFC Wimbledon 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Plymouth 10%, draw 84%, AFC Wimbledon 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Plymouth 9%, draw 86%, AFC Wimbledon 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Plymouth 7%, draw 89%, AFC Wimbledon 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Plymouth 5%, draw 92%, AFC Wimbledon 3%90+6' · 2–1 · Plymouth 99%, draw 1%, AFC Wimbledon 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Plymouth 62% to win: they did.

  1. 16'AFC Wimbledon:Jayden Stockley 1702 −16* assist Callum Maycock 1655 −1
  2. 17'AFC Wimbledon:Freddie Simmonds 1379 −8* for Isaac Ogundere 1729 0
  3. 25'Plymouth:Caleb Watts 1885 +30
  4. 30'Plymouth:Matthew Sorinola 1920 +7 for Joe Edwards 1828 −2
  5. 65'Plymouth:Xavier Amaechi 1805 +12 for Oliver Irow 1705 +15
  6. 76'AFC Wimbledon:Marcus Browne 1665 −1 for Callum Maycock 1655 −1
  7. 77'Plymouth:Tyreeq Bakinson 1850 +1 for Caleb Watts 1885 +30
  8. 77'AFC Wimbledon:Zack Nelson 1635 0 for Ollie Harrison 1834 −5
  9. 78'Plymouth:Alex·Hartridge 1847 −6* for Wes Harding 1971 +6
  10. 90+1'AFC Wimbledon:Steven Sessegnon 1745 −8* for Aron Sasu 1600 0
  11. 90+5'Plymouth:Xavier Amaechi 1805 +12 assist Alex·Hartridge 1847 −6*
  12. 90+7'Plymouth:Xavier Amaechi 1805 +12

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-1-1Formations3-4-2-1
GM. Mahoney1846+14
DJ. Edwards1828−2
DM. Ross2015+7
DA. Mitchell2030+7
DW. Harding1971+6
MR. Curtis1977+6
MB. Ibrahim1823+15
MH. White1970+9
MO. Irow1705+15
MC. Watts1885+30
FW. Evans1966+8
CTom Cleverley1994+16
GJ. Bursik1751−11*
DI. Ogundere17290
DA. Yiadom1598−6
DR. Johnson1718−11*
MA. Sasu16000
MA. Smith1705−2
MO. Harrison1834−5
MS. Seddon1737−4
MC. Maycock1655−1
MM. Hippolyte1766−15*
FJ. Stockley1702−16*
CJ. Jackson1736−5
Before kick-off: 62% · 22% · 16%(Plymouth · draw · AFC Wimbledon)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Plymouth €768K, AFC Wimbledon €350K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of League One matchday 10: 212 points.
  • League One: A. Pepple was the highest-rated forward (2036).
  • AFC Wimbledon were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Plymouth

1st in League One · 16 pts from 9

  • 6 OctDNewport County 1747
  • 3 OctWLeyton Orient 1895
  • 26 SepLBurton Albion 1916
  • 22 SepWCrystal Palace U21 1684
  • 19 SepWBlackpool 1878

AFC Wimbledon

9th in League One · 12 pts from 8

  • 6 OctDBarnet 1657
  • 26 SepDCambridge United 1691
  • 17 SepDMilton Keynes Dons 1744
  • 12 SepWDoncaster 1679
  • 7 SepWBromley 1698

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Plymouth16 /978.844%81%0%1st
AFC Wimbledon12 /855.4<1%2%20%20th
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

H. White
H. White

Plymouth · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1961

M. Hippolyte
M. Hippolyte

AFC Wimbledon · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1781

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Tom Cleverley

Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume

Johnnie Jackson

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Plymouth: direct (how Tom Cleverley plays) · AFC Wimbledon: balanced profile (how Johnnie Jackson plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.