Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13
Platense 0–1 Lanus
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida
PlatenseTeam 1620
LanusTeam 1805Match story
Platense · draw · LanusBefore kick-off: 28% · 31% · 41%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Lanus 41% to win: they did.
- Víctor Cuesta 1593 −1110'
Platense:Víctor Cuesta 1593 −11 - 29'Allan Steven Wlk Duré 1677 +49 assist Sasha Julian Marcich 1905 +22
Lanus:Allan Steven Wlk Duré 1677 +49 assist Sasha Julian Marcich 1905 +22 - 43'Matías Sepúlveda 1791 +10
Lanus:Matías Sepúlveda 1791 +10 - Tomás Silva 1766 −1156'
Platense:Tomás Silva 1766 −11 - 58'Diego Agustín Medina 1853 +10
Lanus:Diego Agustín Medina 1853 +10 - Gonzalo Lencina 1588 −1 for Bruno Christian Sepulveda 1556 −658'
Platense:Gonzalo Lencina 1588 −1 for Bruno Christian Sepulveda 1556 −6 - 68'Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 1625 +15 for Lucas Agustín Besozzi 1804 +10
Lanus:Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 1625 +15 for Lucas Agustín Besozzi 1804 +10 - 68'Ramiro Carrera 1708 +7 for Matías Sepúlveda 1791 +10
Lanus:Ramiro Carrera 1708 +7 for Matías Sepúlveda 1791 +10 - Juan Carlos Gauto 1666 −1 for Franco Zapiola Yamartino 1746 −868'
Platense:Juan Carlos Gauto 1666 −1 for Franco Zapiola Yamartino 1746 −8 - 74'Yoshan Valois 1640 +4 for Allan Steven Wlk Duré 1677 +49
Lanus:Yoshan Valois 1640 +4 for Allan Steven Wlk Duré 1677 +49 - Guido Mainero 1666 −4 for Kevin Retamar 1672 −1279'
Platense:Guido Mainero 1666 −4 for Kevin Retamar 1672 −12 - Maximiliano Amarfil 1504 0 for Martin Barrios 1703 −779'
Platense:Maximiliano Amarfil 1504 0 for Martin Barrios 1703 −7 - Nico López 1701 −13* for Bautista Merlini 1558 −379'
Platense:Nico López 1701 −13* for Bautista Merlini 1558 −3 - 87'Nicolás Morgantini 1555 −9* for Eduardo Salvio 1753 +6
Lanus:Nicolás Morgantini 1555 −9* for Eduardo Salvio 1753 +6 - 87'Felipe Peña Biafore 1826 −7* for Diego Agustín Medina 1853 +10
Lanus:Felipe Peña Biafore 1826 −7* for Diego Agustín Medina 1853 +10
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 28% · 31% · 41%(Platense · draw · Lanus)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 12%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Platense €685K, Lanus €1.2M.
- Platense's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.2 over 180 days.
- Lanus' expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
- Lanus were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Platense
12th in Liga Profesional · 16 pts from 16
- 11 OctDArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1658
- 5 OctDVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1660
- 20 SepLNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1652
- 15 SepWFluminense Copa Libertadores1654
- 12 SepLEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1681
Lanus
6th in Liga Profesional · 24 pts from 16
- 12 OctWVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1775
- 3 OctDNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1775
- 22 SepWEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1739
- 14 SepWDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1741
- 6 SepWDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1726
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 16 /16 | 21.3 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 25th |
| Lanus | 24 /16 | 30.3 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Platense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1754

Lanus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1814
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Platense: direct · high-pressing (how Martín Palermo plays) · Lanus: balanced profile (how Mauricio Andrés Pellegrino Luna plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.