Serie B · Regular Season - 11
Pisa vs Sudtirol
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Pisa host Sudtirol on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pisa 58%, draw 24%, Sudtirol 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pisa €2.0M, Sudtirol €742K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pisa goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Pisa 1827 · Sudtirol 1645
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pisa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1986
Sudtirol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1656
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pisa
3rd in Serie B · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctWCremonese Italy Serie B1811
- 10 OctWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1793
- 20 SepDMantova Italy Serie B1785
- 15 SepLFiorentina Italy Coppa Italia1780
- 11 SepLVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1825
Sudtirol
5th in Serie B · 12 pts from 7
- 18 OctLJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1642
- 10 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1651
- 20 SepWArezzo Italy Serie B1623
- 15 SepLGenoa Italy Coppa Italia1536
- 12 SepDModena Italy Serie B1655
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 13 /7 | 64.7 | 7% | 72% | 0% | 2nd |
| Sudtirol | 12 /7 | 49.3 | 0% | 5% | 9% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pisa: balanced profile (how Paolo Bianco plays) · Sudtirol: direct (how Davide Possanzini plays)