Serie B · Regular Season - 9
Pisa vs Palermo
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Pisa host Palermo on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pisa 33%, draw 29%, Palermo 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pisa €2.1M, Palermo €1.9M.
- Serie B: F. Ranocchia is the highest-rated midfielder (2037).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Serie B): Pisa rank #3 of 21, Palermo #19.
- Palermo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pisa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Pisa 1819 · Palermo 1944
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Pisa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1986

Palermo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2037
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pisa
3rd in Serie B · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctWCremonese Italy Serie B1811
- 10 OctWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1793
- 20 SepDMantova Italy Serie B1785
- 15 SepLFiorentina Italy Coppa Italia1780
- 11 SepLVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1825
Palermo
1st in Serie B · 19 pts from 7
- 17 OctWMantova Italy Serie B1963
- 10 OctWEmpoli Italy Serie B1934
- 19 SepWPadova Italy Serie B1929
- 13 SepDAvellino Italy Serie B1889
- 7 SepWSampdoria Italy Serie B1947
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 13 /7 | 63.7 | 5% | 68% | 0% | 2nd |
| Palermo | 19 /7 | 79.2 | 88% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pisa: balanced profile (how Paolo Bianco plays) · Palermo: balanced profile (how Filippo Inzaghi plays)