Serie B · Regular Season - 13
Pisa vs Modena
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Pisa host Modena on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pisa 43%, draw 28%, Modena 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pisa €1.6M, Modena €1.1M.
- Home advantage makes Pisa the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pisa goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Pisa 1790 · Modena 1791
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pisa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1845
Modena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1828
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pisa
8th in Serie B · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovDSudtirol Italy Serie B1798
- 1 NovLAvellino Italy Serie B1811
- 28 OctDPalermo Italy Serie B1786
- 25 OctDHellas Verona Italy Serie B1784
- 17 OctWCremonese Italy Serie B1808
Modena
2nd in Serie B · 23 pts from 11
- 8 NovWVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1714
- 31 OctDMantova Italy Serie B1786
- 27 OctWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1805
- 24 OctWCesena Italy Serie B1807
- 17 OctLCarrarese Italy Serie B1820
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 16 /11 | 58.7 | 1% | 34% | <1% | 5th |
| Modena | 23 /11 | 65.8 | 7% | 76% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pisa: balanced profile (how Paolo Bianco plays) · Modena: balanced profile (how Daniele Galloppa plays)