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Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Pisa 3–1 Cremonese

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Arena Garibaldi, Pizza

Pisa crestPisaTeam 1804
3–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Cremonese crestCremoneseTeam 1773

We gave Pisa 45% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Pisa:Matteo Tramoni 1986 +30 assist Stefano Moreo 1848 +54
  2. 32'Cremonese:Tommaso Berti 1743 0 assist Jari Vandeputte 1881 −10
  3. 32'Pisa:Arturo Calabresi 1893 +9
  4. 35'Cremonese:Marco Nasti 1653 0
  5. 45'Cremonese:Adrian Lickunas 1556 0 for Marco Nasti 1653 0
  6. 53'Cremonese:Tommaso Barbieri 1899 −10
  7. 63'Pisa:Rosen Bozhinov 1728 +8 for Arturo Calabresi 1893 +9
  8. 63'Pisa:Felipe Loyola 1781 −1* for Giuseppe Leone 1838 +14
  9. 67'Pisa:Mehdi Léris 1869 +15
  10. 72'Cremonese:Manuel De Luca 1770 −1 for Tommaso Berti 1743 0
  11. 72'Cremonese:Simone Lottici Tessadri 1625 0 for Jari Vandeputte 1881 −10
  12. 76'Cremonese:Alessandro Vogliacco 1948 −11* for Salvatore Elia 1663 −1
  13. 78'Pisa:Tommaso Marras 1604 +13 for Mehdi Léris 1869 +15
  14. 78'Pisa:Andrea Petagna 1758 −7* for Filippo Pittarello 1829 +16
  15. 79'Pisa:Stefano Moreo 1848 +54
  16. 81'Cremonese:Alessandro Vogliacco 1948 −11*
  17. 83'Cremonese:Gabriel Herzuah for Tommaso Barbieri 1899 −10
  18. 87'Pisa:Antonio Caracciolo 1682 −15* for Simone Zanon 1726 +28
  19. 88'Pisa:Tommaso Marras 1604 +13
  20. 89'Pisa:Tommaso Marras 1604 +13
  21. 90'Pisa:Andrea Primasso 1541 +45

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GA. Confente1844+60
DS. Zanon1726+28
DA. Calabresi1893+9
DA. Primasso1541+45
DS. Angori1914+15
MM. Léris1869+15
MG. Leone1838+14
MO. Correia1841+20
FS. Moreo1848+54
FF. Pittarello1829+16
FM. Tramoni1986+30
CP. Bianco1958+24
GA. Fulignati1754−1
DT. Barbieri1899−10
DF. Baschirotto1875−10
DS. Luperto1920−15
DA. Grassi1841−9
MM. Thorsby1905−14
MJ. Vandeputte1881−10
MAdin Ličina15100
MT. Berti17430
MS. Elia1663−1
FM. Nasti16530
CF. Pecchia1855−13
Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%(Pisa · draw · Cremonese)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–1 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Pisa €2.0M, Cremonese €1.7M.
  • Home advantage made Pisa the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Pisa

7th in Serie B · 10 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWVicenza Virtus 1793
  • 20 SepDMantova 1785
  • 15 SepLFiorentina 1780
  • 11 SepLVirtus Entella 1825
  • 6 SepWJuve Stabia 1825

Cremonese

15th in Serie B · 6 pts from 6

  • 10 OctDArezzo 1844
  • 19 SepDVirtus Entella 1806
  • 12 SepDCesena 1809
  • 6 SepWPadova 1787
  • 28 AugLModena 1848

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Pisa10 /661.74%49%<1%2nd
Cremonese6 /660.13%41%<1%2nd
Pisa
Cremonese

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Leone
G. Leone

Pisa · +3.3 (Good) · Elo 1824

A. Grassi
A. Grassi

Cremonese · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1850

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Paolo Bianco

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Fabio Pecchia

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Pisa: balanced profile (how Paolo Bianco plays) · Cremonese: balanced profile (how Fabio Pecchia plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.