Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15
Piast Gliwice vs Korona Kielce
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Piast Gliwice host Korona Kielce on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Piast Gliwice 42%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Piast Gliwice €642K, Korona Kielce €775K.
- Home advantage makes Piast Gliwice the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Ekstraklasa): Piast Gliwice rank #17 of 19, Korona Kielce #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Piast Gliwice goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Piast Gliwice 1686 · Korona Kielce 1701
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Piast Gliwice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1813
Korona Kielce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1765
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Piast Gliwice
7th in Ekstraklasa · 21 pts from 13
- 31 OctDWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1703
- 24 OctWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1678
- 18 OctDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1692
- 11 OctWWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1696
- 20 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1693
Korona Kielce
10th in Ekstraklasa · 18 pts from 13
- 2 NovLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1651
- 24 OctWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1740
- 18 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1753
- 11 OctLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1767
- 19 SepWRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1746
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 21 /13 | 47.0 | 0% | 8% | 2% | 8th |
| Korona Kielce | 18 /13 | 45.6 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Piast Gliwice: balanced profile (how Daniel Myśliwiec plays) · Korona Kielce: direct (how Robert Kolendowicz plays)