Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 10:15 UTC · Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Piast Gliwice host Cracovia Krakow on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Piast Gliwice 40%, draw 29%, Cracovia Krakow 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Piast Gliwice €663K, Cracovia Krakow €782K.
- Home advantage makes Piast Gliwice the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Piast Gliwice goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Piast Gliwice 1670 · Cracovia Krakow 1714
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Piast Gliwice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1661
Cracovia Krakow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1567
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Piast Gliwice
8th in Ekstraklasa · 17 pts from 11
- 18 OctDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1694
- 11 OctWWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1698
- 20 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1690
- 14 SepWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1665
- 4 SepWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1639
Cracovia Krakow
10th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctDLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1721
- 10 OctWZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1708
- 19 SepLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1681
- 13 SepLWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1725
- 6 SepLGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1734
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 17 /11 | 45.4 | <1% | 5% | 5% | 9th |
| Cracovia Krakow | 12 /11 | 42.1 | 0% | 2% | 13% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Piast Gliwice: balanced profile (how Daniel Myśliwiec plays) · Cracovia Krakow: balanced profile (how Bartosz Piotr Grzelak plays)