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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia

Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia UnionTeam 2053
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt LakeTeam 1823

Match story

Philadelphia Union · draw · Real Salt Lake

Before kick-off: 67% · 18% · 15%

Live chances: Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 18%, Real Salt Lake 15%2' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 18%, Real Salt Lake 15%3' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 15%4' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 15%5' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 15%6' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 66%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 15%7' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 65%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 16%8' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 65%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 16%9' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 65%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 16%10' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 65%, draw 20%, Real Salt Lake 16%11' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 64%, draw 20%, Real Salt Lake 16%12' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 64%, draw 20%, Real Salt Lake 16%13' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 64%, draw 20%, Real Salt Lake 16%14' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 64%, draw 20%, Real Salt Lake 16%15' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%16' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%17' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%18' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%19' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 62%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%20' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 62%, draw 21%, Real Salt Lake 16%21' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 62%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 17%22' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 17%23' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 17%24' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 17%25' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 17%26' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 17%27' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 17%28' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 17%29' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 60%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 17%30' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 59%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 17%31' · 0–0 · Philadelphia Union 59%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 17%32' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 5%33' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 5%34' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 5%35' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 5%36' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 5%37' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 5%38' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%39' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%40' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%41' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%42' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%43' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%44' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%45' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 5%45+1' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 4%45+2' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 4%HT · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 4%47' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 4%48' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 4%49' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%50' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%51' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%52' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%53' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%54' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%55' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%56' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%57' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 82%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%58' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 4%59' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%60' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%61' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%62' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%63' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%64' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%65' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%66' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%67' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 83%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%69' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 84%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 3%70' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 84%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 2%72' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 84%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 2%73' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 85%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 2%74' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 85%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 2%75' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 85%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 2%77' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 86%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 2%78' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 86%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 2%79' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 86%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 1%81' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 87%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 1%83' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 88%, draw 11%, Real Salt Lake 1%84' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 89%, draw 10%, Real Salt Lake 1%85' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 89%, draw 10%, Real Salt Lake 1%86' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 90%, draw 10%, Real Salt Lake 1%87' · 1–0 · Philadelphia Union 90%, draw 9%, Real Salt Lake 1%88' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%89' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+6' · 2–0 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%90+8' · 2–1 · Philadelphia Union 100%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Philadelphia Union 67% to win: they did.

  1. 2'Philadelphia Union:Danley Jean Jacques 2126 +6
  2. 13'Real Salt Lake:DeAndre Yedlin 1870 −15*
  3. 23'Philadelphia Union:Francis Westfield 2154 −2*
  4. 31'Philadelphia Union:Bruno Damiani 2162 +7* assist Francis Westfield 2154 −2*
  5. 45'Real Salt Lake:Juan Sanabria 1921 −11* for Sam Junqua 1874 −12*
  6. 45'Real Salt Lake:Luc De Fougerolles 1710 −8* for DeAndre Yedlin 1870 −15*
  7. 62'Real Salt Lake:Dominik Marczuk 1785 −8*
  8. 64'Philadelphia Union:Quinn Sullivan 2107 −6* for Indiana Vassilev 2103 −3*
  9. 65'Real Salt Lake:Saba Lobjanidze 1693 −11* for Aiden Hezarkhani 1760 −8*
  10. 70'Real Salt Lake:Chadwick Zachary Booth 1311 −8* for Dominik Marczuk 1785 −8*
  11. 74'Philadelphia Union:Jesus Bueno 1929 −6* for Jovan Lukic 2091 −2*
  12. 79'Real Salt Lake:Ariath Piol 1526 −8* for Sergi Solans 1861 −11*
  13. 80'Philadelphia Union:Jesus Bueno 1929 −6*
  14. 81'Philadelphia Union:Milan Iloski 2120 +9* assist Cavan Sullivan 2054 +13*
  15. 89'Philadelphia Union:Bruno Damiani 2162 +7*
  16. 90+1'Philadelphia Union:Benjamin Bender 1755 −8* for Cavan Sullivan 2054 +13*
  17. 90+2'Philadelphia Union:Malik Jakupovic 1537 −7* for Milan Iloski 2120 +9*
  18. 90+2'Philadelphia Union:Alejandro Bedoya 1061 −21* for Danley Jean Jacques 2126 +6
  19. 90+6'Real Salt Lake:Saba Lobjanidze 1693 −11* assist Luc De Fougerolles 1710 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-4-3
GA. Blake2052+4
DF. Westfield2154−2*
DNeil Pierre2044+14*
DN. Harriel2170+6*
DK. Wagner2192−4*
MCavan Sullivan2054+13*
MD. Jean-Jacques2126+6
MJ. Lukić2091−2*
MI. Vassilev2103−3*
FM. Iloski2120+9*
FB. Damiani2162+7*
CRyan Richter2021+8*
GRafael Cabral1888−18*
DD. Yedlin1870−15*
DP. Quinton1920−15*
DK. Henry13340
MD. Marczuk1785−8*
MN. Caliskan1908−14*
MS. Spierings1918−17*
MS. Junqua1874−12*
FA. Hezarkhani1760−8*
FS. Solans1861−11*
FM. Guilavogui1920−16*
CP. Mastroeni1896−19*
Before kick-off: 67% · 18% · 15%(Philadelphia Union · draw · Real Salt Lake)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–1 (9%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Philadelphia Union €3.6M, Real Salt Lake €1.2M.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (MLS): Philadelphia Union ranked #30 of 30, Real Salt Lake #4.
  • Philadelphia Union had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Philadelphia Union

6th in MLS · 39 pts from 27

  • 26 SepWOrlando City SC 2017
  • 20 SepWSporting Kansas City 2075
  • 14 SepWSan Diego 2040
  • 9 SepWFC Cincinnati 1975
  • 5 SepWCF Montreal 1998

Real Salt Lake

11th in MLS · 32 pts from 27

  • 27 SepWNew England Revolution 1803
  • 24 SepLSeattle Sounders 1801
  • 20 SepLVancouver Whitecaps 1786
  • 13 SepLNew York City FC 1870
  • 10 SepLHouston Dynamo 1784

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Philadelphia Union39 /2750.40%2%0%12th
Real Salt Lake32 /2739.50%0%6%24th
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Jean-Jacques
D. Jean-Jacques

Philadelphia Union · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2121

N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan

Real Salt Lake · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1922

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ryan Richter

Coach DNA: –

Pablo Andrés Mastroeni

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Philadelphia Union: direct · high-pressing (how Ryan Richter plays) · Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how Pablo Andrés Mastroeni plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.