Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Subaru Park, Philadelphia
Philadelphia Union host New England Revolution on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Philadelphia Union 53%, draw 26%, New England Revolution 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Philadelphia Union €3.3M, New England Revolution €2.5M.
- Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Philadelphia Union goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Philadelphia Union 2061 · New England Revolution 1957
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Philadelphia Union · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2121
New England Revolution · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2055
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Philadelphia Union
6th in MLS · 46 pts from 30
- 17 OctDCharlotte MLS2144
- 15 OctWChicago Fire MLS2097
- 10 OctWReal Salt Lake MLS2112
- 26 SepWOrlando City SC MLS2017
- 20 SepWSporting Kansas City MLS2075
New England Revolution
3rd in MLS · 52 pts from 30
- 17 OctWChicago Fire MLS1983
- 14 OctWFC Cincinnati MLS1957
- 10 OctLSeattle Sounders MLS1953
- 27 SepLReal Salt Lake MLS1892
- 19 SepWOrlando City SC MLS1997
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | 46 /30 | 52.5 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 10th |
| New England Revolution | 52 /30 | 57.2 | 0% | 28% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Philadelphia Union: direct · high-pressing (how Ryan Richter plays) · New England Revolution: balanced profile (how Marko Mićović plays)