First League · Regular Season - 11
Petrovac 2–3 Otrant-Olympic
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion Mitar Mico Golis, Petrovac
PetrovacTeam 1340Otrant-OlympicTeam 1275- T. Selimi 10'
- V. Strikovic 72'
We gave Petrovac 43% to win: Otrant-Olympic won.
- T. Selimi –10'Petrovac:T. Selimi –
- 18'Otrant-Olympic:
- 32'Otrant-Olympic:
- 36'Otrant-Olympic:
- 61'Petrovac:
- 65'Petrovac:
- 68'Otrant-Olympic:
- V. Strikovic –72'Petrovac:V. Strikovic –
- 75'Otrant-Olympic:
- 75'Petrovac:
- 90+1'Petrovac:
Before kick-off (provisional): 43% · 28% · 28%(Petrovac · draw · Otrant-Olympic)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- D. Boljević and M. Roganović (Petrovac) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Petrovac
9th in First League · 8 pts from 9
- 29 AugDMornar Montenegro First League1372
- 16 JulLFK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League1370
- 9 JulLFK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League1399
- 15 MarWJedinstvo Montenegro First League1343
- 11 MarWMladost DG Montenegro First League1313
Otrant-Olympic
2nd in First League · 17 pts from 10
- 24 MayWBokelj Montenegro First League1235
- 18 MayWArsenal Tivat Montenegro First League1218
- 14 MayLSutjeska Montenegro First League1206
- 10 MayLBuducnost Podgorica Montenegro First League1252
- 4 MayDDečić Montenegro First League1290
Season outlook
From the First League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrovac | 8 /9 | 21.2 | <1% | 9% | 50% | 9th |
| Otrant-Olympic | 17 /10 | 28.6 | 13% | 67% | 3% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Petrovac · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1425
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –