FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Peterborough vs Reading
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Peterborough host Reading on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Peterborough 39%, draw 29%, Reading 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Peterborough €471K, Reading €507K.
- Home advantage makes Peterborough the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Peterborough goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Peterborough 1760 · Reading 1829
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Peterborough · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1803
Reading · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1887
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Peterborough
21st in League One · 10 pts from 12
- 27 OctLBradford England League Cup1707
- 24 OctDBromley England League One1736
- 20 OctLHuddersfield England League One1747
- 17 OctDBurton Albion England League One1733
- 10 OctWLeicester England League One1717
Reading
6th in League One · 21 pts from 12
- 24 OctWBarnsley England League One1822
- 21 OctWLeyton Orient England League One1802
- 17 OctLWigan England League One1815
- 13 OctLChelsea U21 England EFL Trophy1723
- 10 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1784
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Peterborough: possession-based (how Robert William Savage plays) · Reading: balanced profile (how L. Richardson plays)