League One · Regular Season - 15
Peterborough vs Oxford United
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Peterborough host Oxford United on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Peterborough 35%, draw 29%, Oxford United 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Peterborough €467K, Oxford United €1.2M.
- Oxford United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Peterborough goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Peterborough 1760 · Oxford United 1853
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Peterborough · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1803
Oxford United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2115
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Peterborough
21st in League One · 10 pts from 12
- 27 OctLBradford England League Cup1707
- 24 OctDBromley England League One1736
- 20 OctLHuddersfield England League One1747
- 17 OctDBurton Albion England League One1733
- 10 OctWLeicester England League One1717
Oxford United
3rd in League One · 22 pts from 11
- 27 OctWStockport County England League One1838
- 24 OctDBradford England League One1841
- 20 OctWWigan England League One1860
- 15 OctDMansfield Town England League One1814
- 10 OctWNotts County England League One1831
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 10 /12 | 52.1 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 20th |
| Oxford United | 22 /11 | 74.0 | 12% | 48% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Peterborough: possession-based (how Robert William Savage plays) · Oxford United: balanced profile (how A. Ramsey plays)