A-League · Regular Season - 4
Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 10:45 UTC · HBF Park, Perth
Perth Glory host Newcastle Jets on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Perth Glory 32%, draw 29%, Newcastle Jets 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Perth Glory €347K, Newcastle Jets €370K.
- Style contrast in possession (A-League): Perth Glory rank #12 of 12, Newcastle Jets #3.
- C. A. Shamoon, B. Kaltak, S. Wootton and N. Pennington (Perth Glory) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Perth Glory goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Perth Glory 1511 · Newcastle Jets 1568
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Perth Glory from last season's line-ups (latest 25 April 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Newcastle Jets · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1625
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Perth Glory
10th in A-League · 0 pts from 1
- 17 OctLMacarthur A-League1499
- 25 AprWBrisbane Roar A-League1598
- 18 AprDSydney A-League1594
- 12 AprWMacarthur A-League1556
- 4 AprDCentral Coast Mariners A-League1605
Newcastle Jets
5th in A-League · 1 pts from 1
- 17 OctDCentral Coast Mariners A-League1559
- 13 OctLGamba Osaka AFC Champions League1604
- 15 SepLKashima AFC Champions League1637
- 16 MayDSydney A-League1742
- 9 MayDSydney A-League1725
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 0 /1 | 30.4 | 1% | 10% | 48% | 12th |
| Newcastle Jets | 1 /1 | 35.2 | 5% | 30% | 20% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Perth Glory: direct (how A. Griffiths plays) · Newcastle Jets: balanced profile (how Mark Milligan plays)