A-League · Regular Season - 3
Perth Glory vs Adelaide United
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 08:00 UTC · HBF Park, Perth
Perth Glory host Adelaide United on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Perth Glory 31%, draw 29%, Adelaide United 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Perth Glory €326K, Adelaide United €421K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (A-League): Perth Glory rank #12 of 12, Adelaide United #3.
- C. A. Shamoon, B. Kaltak, S. Wootton and N. Pennington (Perth Glory) have not played for over 90 days.
- R. Kitto (Adelaide United) has not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Perth Glory goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Perth Glory 1512 · Adelaide United 1588
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Perth Glory from last season's line-ups (latest 25 April 2026); Adelaide United from last season's line-ups (latest 15 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Adelaide United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1641
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Perth Glory
10th in A-League · 0 pts from 1
- 17 OctLMacarthur A-League1499
- 25 AprWBrisbane Roar A-League1598
- 18 AprDSydney A-League1594
- 12 AprWMacarthur A-League1556
- 4 AprDCentral Coast Mariners A-League1605
Adelaide United
8th in A-League · 0 pts from 0
- 15 OctWBG Pathum United AFC Cup1569
- 11 AugLCông An Nhân Dân AFC Champions League1615
- 15 MayLAuckland A-League1649
- 9 MayDAuckland A-League1645
- 26 AprWMelbourne City A-League1615
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 0 /1 | 30.6 | 1% | 11% | 46% | 12th |
| Adelaide United | 0 /0 | 36.3 | 7% | 35% | 17% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Perth Glory: direct (how Adam David Griffiths plays) · Adelaide United: balanced profile (how Airton Andrioli plays)