Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Persepolis FC vs Foolad FC
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC · Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Persepolis FC host Foolad FC on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Persian Gulf Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Persepolis FC 47%, draw 28%, Foolad FC 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Persepolis FC €407K, Foolad FC €125K.
- Persian Gulf Pro League: H. Kanani is the highest-rated defender (1910).
- H. Lak, R. Rezaeian, M. Ghoreishi, A. Razzaghpour, S. Ansari, A. M. Sarabadani, F. Ahmadzadeh, Mohammad Soleimani and E. Mahrooghi (Foolad FC) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Persepolis FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Persepolis FC 1554 · Foolad FC 1449
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 1 matches; Foolad FC from last season's line-ups (latest 21 February 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Foolad FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1522
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Persepolis FC
1st in Persian Gulf Pro League · 17 pts from 8
- 29 AugWMalavan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1537
- 26 JunLChadormalu SC Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1498
- 15 MayWHavadar Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1692
- 8 MayWKheybar Khorramabad Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1712
- 1 MayWMes Rafsanjan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1715
Foolad FC
5th in Persian Gulf Pro League · 16 pts from 9
- 21 FebWZOB Ahan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1426
- 15 MayDMalavan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1510
- 8 MayWEsteghlal Khuzestan Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1512
- 1 MayDChadormalu SC Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1476
- 25 AprLTractor Sazi Iran Persian Gulf Pro League1498
Season outlook
From the Persian Gulf Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepolis FC | 17 /8 | 25.3 | 44% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
| Foolad FC | 16 /9 | 20.6 | 1% | 21% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy