Premier League · Regular Season - 16
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Penybont host Caernarfon Town on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Penybont 41%, draw 29%, Caernarfon Town 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Penybont €71K, Caernarfon Town €87K.
- Home advantage makes Penybont the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- L. Armstrong, M. Davies, Owen Robert Pritchard, E. Cann, Joseph Michael Woodiwiss, N. Wood, C. Venables, Kai Ludvigsen, A. Cvetkovic, B. Borge and C. Green (Penybont) have not played for over 90 days.
- C. Roberts, Morgan Rhys Wyn Owen, J. Lock, R. Sears, P. Mooney, D. Gosset, I. Lewis, D. Smith, Kyle Harrison and Paulo Mendes (Caernarfon Town) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Penybont goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Penybont 1291 · Caernarfon Town 1295
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Penybont from last season's line-ups (latest 3 April 2026); Caernarfon Town from last season's line-ups (latest 3 April 2026).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Penybont
3rd in Premier League · 30 pts from 13
- 16 JulLFC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League1248
- 9 JulLFC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League1298
- 3 AprLBarry Town Wales Premier League1187
- 28 MarDColwyn Bay Wales Premier League1235
- 14 MarLThe New Saints Wales Premier League1232
Caernarfon Town
4th in Premier League · 26 pts from 13
- 16 JulLFC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League1244
- 9 JulLFC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League1368
- 3 AprWColwyn Bay Wales Premier League1331
- 27 MarLThe New Saints Wales Premier League1203
- 13 MarLGAP Connah S Quay FC Wales Premier League1350
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 30 /13 | 48.3 | 1% | 77% | 0% | 3rd |
| Caernarfon Town | 26 /13 | 47.6 | 1% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –