Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Penybont 3–1 Barry Town
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
PenybontTeam 12813–1
Full time
Barry TownTeam 1179We gave Penybont 50% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 50% · 27% · 23%(Penybont · draw · Barry Town)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–1 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Penybont €71K, Barry Town €97K.
- L. Armstrong, Joseph Michael Woodiwiss, Kai Ludvigsen, A. Cvetkovic, B. Borge and C. Green (Penybont) had not played for over 90 days.
- G. Ratcliffe, B. Margetson, R. Willmott, E. Williams, O. Hulbert, W. Richards, C. Sainty, D. Barton and K. Davies (Barry Town) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Penybont
3rd in Premier League · 27 pts from 12
- 16 JulLFC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League1248
- 9 JulLFC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League1298
- 3 AprLBarry Town Wales Premier League1187
- 28 MarDColwyn Bay Wales Premier League1235
- 14 MarLThe New Saints Wales Premier League1232
Barry Town
4th in Premier League · 25 pts from 12
- 3 AprWPenybont Wales Premier League1214
- 29 MarDGAP Connah S Quay FC Wales Premier League1210
- 14 MarLColwyn Bay Wales Premier League1223
- 3 MarWPenybont Wales Premier League1224
- 21 FebWGAP Connah S Quay FC Wales Premier League1185
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 27 /12 | 46.6 | 2% | 68% | 0% | 3rd |
| Barry Town | 25 /12 | 42.3 | <1% | 29% | <1% | 6th |
Penybont
Barry Town
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Rhys Thomas Griffiths
Coach DNA: –
Stephen Robert Jenkins
Coach DNA: –