1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Pendikspor 1–2 Vanspor FK
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Pendik Stadium, Istanbul
PendiksporTeam 1549
Vanspor FKTeam 1537Match story
Pendikspor · draw · Vanspor FKBefore kick-off: 43% · 30% · 27%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Emrah Başsan 49'
- Jurgen Bardhi 60'
- Muhammed Furkan Özhan 88' (pen)
We gave Pendikspor 43% to win: Vanspor FK won.
- Thuram 1468 −8 for Berkay Sulungoz 1621 −421'
Pendikspor:Thuram 1468 −8 for Berkay Sulungoz 1621 −4 - M. Özdemir 1617 −1128'
Pendikspor:M. Özdemir 1617 −11 - 45'Sinan Osmanoğlu 1646 +13
Vanspor FK:Sinan Osmanoğlu 1646 +13 - Emrah Başsan 1372 −7 assist Hakan Yesil 1610 −549'
Pendikspor:Emrah Başsan 1372 −7 assist Hakan Yesil 1610 −5 - 58'Ozan Kokcu 1668 +5 for Özkan Yiğiter 1500 +12*
Vanspor FK:Ozan Kokcu 1668 +5 for Özkan Yiğiter 1500 +12* - 59'İlkan Sever 1381 +14 for Alvaro de Oliveira 1514 +20
Vanspor FK:İlkan Sever 1381 +14 for Alvaro de Oliveira 1514 +20 - 60'Jurgen Bardhi 1595 +65
Vanspor FK:Jurgen Bardhi 1595 +65 - Y. Sönmez 1048 0 for Efehan Pekdemir 1330 −8*68'
Pendikspor:Y. Sönmez 1048 0 for Efehan Pekdemir 1330 −8* - damir hrelja 1700 −3 for Jonson Clarke-Harris 1623 −968'
Pendikspor:damir hrelja 1700 −3 for Jonson Clarke-Harris 1623 −9 - Hakan Yesil 1610 −575'
Pendikspor:Hakan Yesil 1610 −5 - 79'Muhammed Furkan Özhan 1448 +11 for Mehmet Manis 1335 +43
Vanspor FK:Muhammed Furkan Özhan 1448 +11 for Mehmet Manis 1335 +43 - 82'Jesse Khan 1304 +4 for Jurgen Bardhi 1595 +65
Vanspor FK:Jesse Khan 1304 +4 for Jurgen Bardhi 1595 +65 - Mirko susak 1209 −8* for Emrah Başsan 1372 −783'
Pendikspor:Mirko susak 1209 −8* for Emrah Başsan 1372 −7 - M. Özdemir 1617 −1187'
Pendikspor:M. Özdemir 1617 −11 - 88'Muhammed Furkan Özhan 1448 +11 (pen.)
Vanspor FK:Muhammed Furkan Özhan 1448 +11 (pen.)
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 43% · 30% · 27%(Pendikspor · draw · Vanspor FK)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Pendikspor €239K, Vanspor FK €257K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pendikspor
13th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 9
- 9 OctLSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1626
- 20 SepDBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1606
- 12 SepDBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1629
- 5 SepWÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1618
- 28 AugDBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1580
Vanspor FK
19th in 1. Lig · 4 pts from 9
- 9 OctLBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 20 SepLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1540
- 12 SepDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1542
- 6 SepDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1529
- 2 SepLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1554
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | 10 /9 | 46.3 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 16th |
| Vanspor FK | 4 /9 | 40.0 | 0% | 0% | 44% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pendikspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1628

Vanspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1594
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pendikspor: balanced profile (how Umut Eskikoy plays) · Vanspor FK: balanced profile (how Mustafa Gürsel plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.