Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 11
Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
Penafiel host Lusitânia Lourosa on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Penafiel 46%, draw 28%, Lusitânia Lourosa 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Penafiel €280K, Lusitânia Lourosa €249K.
- Lusitânia Lourosa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Penafiel goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Penafiel 1519 · Lusitânia Lourosa 1466
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Penafiel
3rd in Segunda Liga · 16 pts from 8
- 24 OctWFarense Liga Portugal 21474
- 9 OctLAVS Liga Portugal 21518
- 12 SepWFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21457
- 5 SepWAcademica Liga Portugal 21481
- 30 AugWFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21477
Lusitânia Lourosa
1st in Segunda Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 25 OctDFelgueiras 1932 Liga Portugal 21486
- 11 OctDChaves Liga Portugal 21499
- 14 SepWSporting CP B Liga Portugal 21478
- 7 SepWAVS Liga Portugal 21446
- 29 AugWAcademica Liga Portugal 21438
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 16 /8 | 51.7 | 7% | 39% | 1% | 3rd |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 18 /8 | 49.8 | 4% | 25% | 2% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –