NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

PEC Zwolle 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 10:15 UTC · MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

PEC Zwolle crestPEC ZwolleTeam 1620
4–1
Full time
HT 0–1
GO Ahead Eagles crestGO Ahead EaglesTeam 1753

Match story

PEC Zwolle · draw · GO Ahead Eagles

Before kick-off: 32% · 27% · 42%

Live chances: PEC Zwolle 100%, draw 0%, GO Ahead Eagles 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 42%2' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%3' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%4' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%5' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%6' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%7' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%8' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 27%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%9' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%10' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%11' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%12' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%13' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 41%14' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%15' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%16' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 28%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%17' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%18' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%19' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%20' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%21' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%22' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 29%, GO Ahead Eagles 40%23' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 61%24' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 61%25' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 61%26' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%27' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%28' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%29' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%30' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%31' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%32' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%33' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%34' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 62%35' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%36' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%37' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%38' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%39' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%40' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 13%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%41' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 13%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 63%42' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 13%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 64%43' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 13%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 64%44' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 13%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 64%45' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 13%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 64%45+1' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 12%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 64%45+2' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 12%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 64%45+3' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 12%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 65%HT · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 12%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 65%47' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 12%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 65%48' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 29%, draw 36%, GO Ahead Eagles 35%49' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 29%, draw 37%, GO Ahead Eagles 35%50' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 37%, GO Ahead Eagles 34%51' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 38%, GO Ahead Eagles 34%52' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 38%, GO Ahead Eagles 34%53' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 39%, GO Ahead Eagles 34%54' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 39%, GO Ahead Eagles 33%55' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 27%, draw 40%, GO Ahead Eagles 33%56' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 27%, draw 40%, GO Ahead Eagles 32%57' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 27%, draw 41%, GO Ahead Eagles 32%58' · 1–1 · PEC Zwolle 27%, draw 42%, GO Ahead Eagles 32%59' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 67%, draw 24%, GO Ahead Eagles 9%60' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 67%, draw 24%, GO Ahead Eagles 9%61' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 68%, draw 24%, GO Ahead Eagles 8%62' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 68%, draw 24%, GO Ahead Eagles 8%64' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 69%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 8%65' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 70%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 7%66' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 70%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 7%67' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 71%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 7%68' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 71%, draw 23%, GO Ahead Eagles 6%69' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 72%, draw 22%, GO Ahead Eagles 6%70' · 2–1 · PEC Zwolle 72%, draw 22%, GO Ahead Eagles 6%71' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 95%, draw 4%, GO Ahead Eagles 1%72' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 95%, draw 4%, GO Ahead Eagles 1%73' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 96%, draw 4%, GO Ahead Eagles 1%74' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 96%, draw 4%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%75' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 96%, draw 3%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%76' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 96%, draw 3%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%77' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 97%, draw 3%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%78' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 97%, draw 3%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%79' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 97%, draw 3%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%80' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 97%, draw 2%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%81' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 98%, draw 2%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%82' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 98%, draw 2%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%83' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 98%, draw 2%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%84' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 98%, draw 2%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%85' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 98%, draw 1%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%86' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 99%, draw 1%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%87' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 99%, draw 1%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%88' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 99%, draw 1%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%89' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 99%, draw 1%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%90' · 3–1 · PEC Zwolle 99%, draw 1%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%90+1' · 4–1 · PEC Zwolle 100%, draw 0%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%90+2' · 4–1 · PEC Zwolle 100%, draw 0%, GO Ahead Eagles 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave GO Ahead Eagles 42% to win: PEC Zwolle won.

  1. 22'GO Ahead Eagles:Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson 1699 0
  2. 24'PEC Zwolle:Damian van der Haar 1672 +24 for Sherel Floranus 1803 +4
  3. 47'PEC Zwolle:Sydney van Hooijdonk 1696 +86 assist Dylan Mbayo 1741 +60
  4. 58'PEC Zwolle:Thijs Oosting 1795 +61
  5. 65'GO Ahead Eagles:Tomas Galvez 1888 −12* for Dean Ruben James 1828 −7
  6. 65'GO Ahead Eagles:Yassir Salah Rahmouni 1664 0 for Evert Linthorst 1842 −8
  7. 65'GO Ahead Eagles:Thibo Baeten 1539 0 for Mathis Suray 1874 −11
  8. 70'PEC Zwolle:Thijs Oosting 1795 +61 assist Damian van der Haar 1672 +24
  9. 71'GO Ahead Eagles:Oskar Siira Sivertsen 1457 0 for Alfons Sampsted 1914 −17
  10. 71'PEC Zwolle:Ibrahim Cissoko 1746 +5 for Dylan Mbayo 1741 +60
  11. 78'GO Ahead Eagles:Erik Flataker Hovden 1509 0 for Giovanni Van Zwam 1677 0
  12. 80'PEC Zwolle:Koen Kostons 1721 +7 for Sydney van Hooijdonk 1696 +86
  13. 80'PEC Zwolle:Jan Burger 1745 −5* for Gilles Van Der Wal 1520 +47
  14. 81'PEC Zwolle:Tijs Velthuis 1664 −5* for Ryan Thomas 1727 +20
  15. 89'PEC Zwolle:Koen Kostons 1721 +7 assist Ibrahim Cissoko 1746 +5

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GK. Haug17190
DA. Sampsted1914−17
DG. van Zwam16770
DJ. Kramer1845−14
DD. James1828−7
MM. Meulensteen1848−12
ME. Linthorst1842−8
MS. Tengstedt1806−21
MV. Edvardsen1812−10
MM. Suray1874−11
FS. Sigurðarson16990
CJ. Oosting1871−30
Before kick-off: 32% · 27% · 42%(PEC Zwolle · draw · GO Ahead Eagles)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–1 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: PEC Zwolle €675K, GO Ahead Eagles €1.1M.
  • GO Ahead Eagles were without 1 expected starter: J. Dirksen (1791).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eredivisie): PEC Zwolle ranked #3 of 18, GO Ahead Eagles #18.
  • PEC Zwolle's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.4 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

PEC Zwolle

17th in Eredivisie · 4 pts from 8

  • 11 OctLCambuur 1727
  • 18 SepLGroningen 1720
  • 13 SepLFeyenoord 1704
  • 4 SepDSparta Rotterdam 1745
  • 29 AugLNEC Nijmegen 1739

GO Ahead Eagles

9th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 8

  • 10 OctDSparta Rotterdam 1833
  • 20 SepDNEC Nijmegen 1840
  • 12 SepDGroningen 1841
  • 8 SepDUtrecht 1845
  • 29 AugLAZ Alkmaar 1834

Season outlook

From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
PEC Zwolle4 /831.10%0%56%18th
GO Ahead Eagles11 /842.80%<1%4%9th
PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eredivisie

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Thomas
R. Thomas

PEC Zwolle · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1707

M. Meulensteen
M. Meulensteen

GO Ahead Eagles · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1860

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Henry van der Vegt

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Joseph Oosting

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

PEC Zwolle: balanced profile (how Henry van der Vegt plays) · GO Ahead Eagles: low-block (how Joseph Oosting plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.