NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

PEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

PEC Zwolle crestPEC ZwolleTeam 1657
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Cambuur crestCambuurTeam 1714

Match story

PEC Zwolle · draw · Cambuur

Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 35%

Live chances: PEC Zwolle 0%, draw 3%, Cambuur 97% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 28%, Cambuur 35%2' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 28%, Cambuur 35%3' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 28%, Cambuur 35%4' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 28%, Cambuur 35%5' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 29%, Cambuur 35%6' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 29%, Cambuur 35%7' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 29%, Cambuur 35%8' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 29%, Cambuur 35%9' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 29%, Cambuur 34%10' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 29%, Cambuur 34%12' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 30%, Cambuur 34%14' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 30%, Cambuur 34%15' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 30%, Cambuur 34%16' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 30%, Cambuur 34%17' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 30%, Cambuur 34%18' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 36%, draw 31%, Cambuur 34%19' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 31%, Cambuur 34%20' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 31%, Cambuur 34%21' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 31%, Cambuur 34%22' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 31%, Cambuur 33%23' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 32%, Cambuur 33%24' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 32%, Cambuur 33%25' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 32%, Cambuur 33%26' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 32%, Cambuur 33%27' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 32%, Cambuur 33%28' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 33%, Cambuur 33%29' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 33%, Cambuur 33%30' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 33%, Cambuur 33%31' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 33%, Cambuur 33%32' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 34%, Cambuur 32%33' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 34%, Cambuur 32%34' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 34%, Cambuur 32%35' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 34%, draw 34%, Cambuur 32%36' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 35%, Cambuur 32%37' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 35%, Cambuur 32%38' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 35%, Cambuur 32%39' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 36%, Cambuur 31%40' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 36%, Cambuur 31%41' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 33%, draw 36%, Cambuur 31%42' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 37%, Cambuur 31%43' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 37%, Cambuur 31%44' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 37%, Cambuur 31%45' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 38%, Cambuur 31%45+1' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 38%, Cambuur 30%45+2' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 38%, Cambuur 30%45+3' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 39%, Cambuur 30%45+4' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 39%, Cambuur 30%45+5' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 39%, Cambuur 30%45+6' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 39%, Cambuur 30%HT · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 39%, Cambuur 30%47' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 31%, draw 39%, Cambuur 30%49' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 30%, draw 40%, Cambuur 29%50' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 30%, draw 41%, Cambuur 29%51' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 30%, draw 41%, Cambuur 29%52' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 30%, draw 42%, Cambuur 28%53' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 29%, draw 42%, Cambuur 28%55' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 29%, draw 44%, Cambuur 28%56' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 44%, Cambuur 27%57' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 45%, Cambuur 27%58' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 28%, draw 46%, Cambuur 27%59' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 27%, draw 46%, Cambuur 26%60' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 27%, draw 47%, Cambuur 26%62' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 26%, draw 49%, Cambuur 25%63' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 26%, draw 49%, Cambuur 25%64' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 25%, draw 50%, Cambuur 25%65' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 25%, draw 51%, Cambuur 24%66' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 25%, draw 52%, Cambuur 24%67' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 24%, draw 52%, Cambuur 23%69' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 23%, draw 54%, Cambuur 23%70' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 23%, draw 55%, Cambuur 22%71' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 22%, draw 56%, Cambuur 22%72' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 22%, draw 57%, Cambuur 21%75' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 20%, draw 60%, Cambuur 20%76' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 20%, draw 61%, Cambuur 19%77' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 19%, draw 62%, Cambuur 19%78' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 18%, draw 64%, Cambuur 18%79' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 18%, draw 65%, Cambuur 17%80' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 17%, draw 66%, Cambuur 17%81' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 68%, Cambuur 16%82' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 16%, draw 69%, Cambuur 15%83' · 0–0 · PEC Zwolle 15%, draw 71%, Cambuur 15%84' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 2%, draw 15%, Cambuur 84%85' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 1%, draw 14%, Cambuur 85%86' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 1%, draw 13%, Cambuur 86%87' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 1%, draw 12%, Cambuur 87%88' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 1%, draw 11%, Cambuur 88%89' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 1%, draw 10%, Cambuur 89%90' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 1%, draw 9%, Cambuur 90%90+1' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 0%, draw 8%, Cambuur 91%90+2' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 0%, draw 7%, Cambuur 93%90+3' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 0%, draw 5%, Cambuur 94%90+4' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 0%, draw 4%, Cambuur 96%90+5' · 0–1 · PEC Zwolle 0%, draw 3%, Cambuur 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave PEC Zwolle 37% to win: Cambuur won.

  1. 39'PEC Zwolle:Sherel Floranus 1799 −13
  2. 39'Cambuur:Devid Eugene Bouah 1670 +43*
  3. 45'Cambuur:Jason Ceka 1721 +1* for Fabian Kvam 1559 +30*
  4. 45'Cambuur:Nicolas Binder 1508 +34* for Ethan Apkakou 1534 +32*
  5. 52'PEC Zwolle:Ibrahim Cissoko 1741 −24*
  6. 56'Cambuur:Jason Ceka 1721 +1*
  7. 60'PEC Zwolle:Elias Sörensen 1593 −8* for Ibrahim Cissoko 1741 −24*
  8. 60'PEC Zwolle:Sydney van Hooijdonk 1611 −8* for Koen Kostons 1714 −12*
  9. 67'Cambuur:Sami Bouhoudane 1419 +9* for Mathieu Maertens 1628 +7*
  10. 73'Cambuur:Morgan Costarelli 1855 +28*
  11. 74'Cambuur:Jamal Amofa 1882 −7* for Devid Eugene Bouah 1670 +43*
  12. 78'PEC Zwolle:Gilles Van Der Wal 1473 −8* for Thijs Oosting 1734 −26*
  13. 78'PEC Zwolle:Gabriel Reiziger 1308 −8* for Dylan Mbayo 1680 −10*
  14. 79'Cambuur:Rik Mulders 1879 −4* for Jamal Amofa 1882 −7*
  15. 83'Cambuur:Nicolas Binder 1508 +34*
  16. 86'PEC Zwolle:Gabriel Reiziger 1308 −8*
  17. 87'PEC Zwolle:Damian van der Haar 1648 −8* for Sherel Floranus 1799 −13

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Schendelaar1712−14*
DO. Aertssen1704−15*
DS. Graves1716−15*
DN. Viergever1640−18*
DS. Floranus1799−13
MR. Thomas1707−17*
MD. Mbayo1680−10*
MT. Oosting1734−26*
MT. Sommer1675−10*
MI. Cissoko1741−24*
FK. Kostons1714−12*
CHenry van der Vegt1689−15*
GT. Jansen1922+19*
DD. Bouah1670+43*
DI. Baouf1960+13*
DB. van Duijl1944+16*
DM. Costarelli1855+28*
MEthan Apkakou1534+32*
MN. Souren1916+27
MF. Kvam1559+30*
MR. El Arguioui1818+7*
MI. Hamache1685+14*
FM. Maertens1628+7*
CJ. Plat1788+22*
Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 35%(PEC Zwolle · draw · Cambuur)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: PEC Zwolle €889K, Cambuur €897K.
  • Home advantage made PEC Zwolle the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in discipline (Eredivisie): PEC Zwolle ranked #16 of 18, Cambuur #4.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

PEC Zwolle

16th in Eredivisie · 4 pts from 7

  • 18 SepLGroningen 1720
  • 13 SepLFeyenoord 1704
  • 4 SepDSparta Rotterdam 1745
  • 29 AugLNEC Nijmegen 1739
  • 22 AugWHeerenveen 1696

Cambuur

14th in Eredivisie · 5 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDADO Den Haag 1726
  • 12 SepWNEC Nijmegen 1675
  • 6 SepDTelstar 1702
  • 30 AugLTwente 1739
  • 23 AugLFeyenoord 1648

Season outlook

From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
PEC Zwolle4 /732.80%0%46%18th
Cambuur5 /734.40%0%35%16th
PEC Zwolle
Cambuur

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eredivisie

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Cissoko
I. Cissoko

PEC Zwolle · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1765

R. El Arguioui
R. El Arguioui

Cambuur · +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1812

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Henry van der Vegt

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Johan Plat

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

PEC Zwolle: balanced profile (how Henry van der Vegt plays) · Cambuur: balanced profile (how Johan Plat plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.