Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 11:15 UTC
PEC Zwolle host ADO Den Haag on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 29%, ADO Den Haag 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: PEC Zwolle €886K, ADO Den Haag €917K.
- Home advantage makes PEC Zwolle the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (Eredivisie): PEC Zwolle rank #18 of 18, ADO Den Haag #3.
- PEC Zwolle's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. PEC Zwolle goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: PEC Zwolle 1715 · ADO Den Haag 1764
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
PEC Zwolle · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1746
ADO Den Haag · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1866
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
PEC Zwolle
15th in Eredivisie · 7 pts from 9
- 18 OctWGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1674
- 11 OctLCambuur Eredivisie1727
- 18 SepLGroningen Eredivisie1720
- 13 SepLFeyenoord Eredivisie1704
- 4 SepDSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1745
ADO Den Haag
17th in Eredivisie · 6 pts from 9
- 17 OctWPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1745
- 11 OctDTelstar Eredivisie1763
- 19 SepDCambuur Eredivisie1758
- 12 SepLTwente Eredivisie1739
- 6 SepLFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1788
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 7 /9 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 43% | 17th |
| ADO Den Haag | 6 /9 | 35.5 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
PEC Zwolle: balanced profile (how Henry van der Vegt plays) · ADO Den Haag: balanced profile (how Robin Peter plays)