Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 7
Patro Eisden 1–0 KRC Genk II
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Patrostadion, Maasmechelen
Patro EisdenTeam 1469KRC Genk IITeam 1326We gave Patro Eisden 52% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 52% · 26% · 22%(Patro Eisden · draw · KRC Genk II)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Patro Eisden €365K, KRC Genk II €425K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Challenger Pro League): Patro Eisden ranked #14 of 15, KRC Genk II #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Patro Eisden
13th in Challenger Pro League · 3 pts from 6
- 20 SepLDender Belgium Challenger Pro League1536
- 13 SepLAS Eupen Belgium Challenger Pro League1488
- 4 SepLBeerschot VA Belgium Challenger Pro League1502
- 29 AugLClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1468
- 27 AprLBeerschot VA Belgium Pro League1459
KRC Genk II
10th in Challenger Pro League · 7 pts from 6
- 19 SepDSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1335
- 12 SepLExcelsior Virton Belgium Challenger Pro League1337
- 5 SepWSporting Hasselt Belgium Challenger Pro League1325
- 3 AprDLokeren-Temse Belgium Challenger Pro League1444
- 20 MarWOlympic Charleroi Belgium Challenger Pro League1336
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patro Eisden | 3 /6 | 33.5 | 0% | 4% | 21% | 10th |
| KRC Genk II | 7 /6 | 28.6 | 0% | <1% | 54% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Patro Eisden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1469
KRC Genk II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1418
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Patro Eisden: direct · high-pressing (how Stijn Stijnen plays) · KRC Genk II: dribble-heavy (how Igor Albert Rinck de Diver Camargo plays)