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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Paris FC 4–3 Rennes

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino

Paris FC crestParis FCTeam 2066
4–3
Full time
HT 2–1
Rennes crestRennesTeam 2120

Match story

Paris FC · draw · Rennes

Before kick-off: 38% · 28% · 34%

Live chances: Paris FC 100%, draw 0%, Rennes 0% at 90+8'2' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 28%, Rennes 34%3' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 28%, Rennes 34%4' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 28%, Rennes 34%5' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 28%, Rennes 34%6' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%7' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%8' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%9' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%10' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%11' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%12' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%13' · 0–0 · Paris FC 37%, draw 29%, Rennes 34%14' · 1–0 · Paris FC 63%, draw 22%, Rennes 15%15' · 1–0 · Paris FC 63%, draw 22%, Rennes 15%16' · 1–0 · Paris FC 63%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%17' · 1–0 · Paris FC 63%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%18' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%19' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%20' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%21' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%22' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%23' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 14%24' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 13%25' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 13%26' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 22%, Rennes 13%27' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 23%, Rennes 13%28' · 1–0 · Paris FC 64%, draw 23%, Rennes 13%29' · 1–0 · Paris FC 65%, draw 23%, Rennes 13%30' · 1–1 · Paris FC 35%, draw 32%, Rennes 33%31' · 1–1 · Paris FC 35%, draw 32%, Rennes 33%32' · 1–1 · Paris FC 35%, draw 33%, Rennes 33%33' · 1–1 · Paris FC 35%, draw 33%, Rennes 32%34' · 1–1 · Paris FC 35%, draw 33%, Rennes 32%35' · 1–1 · Paris FC 35%, draw 33%, Rennes 32%36' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 33%, Rennes 32%37' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 34%, Rennes 32%38' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 34%, Rennes 32%39' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 34%, Rennes 32%40' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 35%, Rennes 32%41' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 35%, Rennes 32%42' · 1–1 · Paris FC 34%, draw 35%, Rennes 31%43' · 1–1 · Paris FC 33%, draw 35%, Rennes 31%44' · 1–1 · Paris FC 33%, draw 36%, Rennes 31%45' · 1–1 · Paris FC 33%, draw 36%, Rennes 31%45+1' · 1–1 · Paris FC 33%, draw 36%, Rennes 31%45+2' · 1–1 · Paris FC 33%, draw 37%, Rennes 31%45+3' · 1–1 · Paris FC 33%, draw 37%, Rennes 31%45+4' · 2–1 · Paris FC 67%, draw 23%, Rennes 10%45+5' · 2–1 · Paris FC 67%, draw 23%, Rennes 10%HT · 2–1 · Paris FC 67%, draw 23%, Rennes 10%46' · 2–1 · Paris FC 67%, draw 23%, Rennes 10%47' · 2–1 · Paris FC 68%, draw 23%, Rennes 10%48' · 2–1 · Paris FC 68%, draw 23%, Rennes 9%49' · 2–1 · Paris FC 68%, draw 23%, Rennes 9%50' · 2–1 · Paris FC 68%, draw 23%, Rennes 9%51' · 2–1 · Paris FC 69%, draw 23%, Rennes 9%52' · 2–2 · Paris FC 31%, draw 40%, Rennes 29%53' · 2–2 · Paris FC 31%, draw 40%, Rennes 29%54' · 2–1 · Paris FC 69%, draw 22%, Rennes 8%55' · 2–1 · Paris FC 70%, draw 22%, Rennes 8%56' · 2–1 · Paris FC 70%, draw 22%, Rennes 8%57' · 2–1 · Paris FC 70%, draw 22%, Rennes 7%58' · 2–1 · Paris FC 71%, draw 22%, Rennes 7%59' · 2–1 · Paris FC 71%, draw 22%, Rennes 7%60' · 2–1 · Paris FC 71%, draw 22%, Rennes 7%61' · 2–1 · Paris FC 72%, draw 22%, Rennes 7%62' · 2–1 · Paris FC 72%, draw 22%, Rennes 6%63' · 2–1 · Paris FC 72%, draw 22%, Rennes 6%64' · 2–1 · Paris FC 73%, draw 21%, Rennes 6%65' · 2–1 · Paris FC 73%, draw 21%, Rennes 6%66' · 2–1 · Paris FC 74%, draw 21%, Rennes 5%67' · 2–1 · Paris FC 74%, draw 21%, Rennes 5%68' · 2–1 · Paris FC 74%, draw 21%, Rennes 5%69' · 2–1 · Paris FC 75%, draw 20%, Rennes 5%70' · 2–1 · Paris FC 75%, draw 20%, Rennes 5%71' · 2–1 · Paris FC 76%, draw 20%, Rennes 4%72' · 2–1 · Paris FC 76%, draw 20%, Rennes 4%73' · 2–1 · Paris FC 77%, draw 19%, Rennes 4%74' · 2–1 · Paris FC 77%, draw 19%, Rennes 4%75' · 2–2 · Paris FC 22%, draw 57%, Rennes 21%76' · 2–2 · Paris FC 21%, draw 58%, Rennes 20%77' · 3–2 · Paris FC 79%, draw 18%, Rennes 3%79' · 3–2 · Paris FC 80%, draw 17%, Rennes 3%80' · 3–2 · Paris FC 81%, draw 16%, Rennes 2%81' · 3–2 · Paris FC 82%, draw 16%, Rennes 2%82' · 3–2 · Paris FC 83%, draw 15%, Rennes 2%83' · 3–2 · Paris FC 83%, draw 15%, Rennes 2%84' · 3–2 · Paris FC 84%, draw 14%, Rennes 2%85' · 3–2 · Paris FC 85%, draw 13%, Rennes 1%86' · 3–2 · Paris FC 86%, draw 13%, Rennes 1%87' · 3–2 · Paris FC 87%, draw 12%, Rennes 1%88' · 3–3 · Paris FC 12%, draw 76%, Rennes 12%89' · 3–3 · Paris FC 11%, draw 79%, Rennes 11%90' · 3–3 · Paris FC 10%, draw 81%, Rennes 9%90+1' · 3–3 · Paris FC 8%, draw 83%, Rennes 8%90+2' · 3–3 · Paris FC 7%, draw 86%, Rennes 7%90+3' · 3–3 · Paris FC 6%, draw 89%, Rennes 5%90+4' · 3–3 · Paris FC 4%, draw 92%, Rennes 4%90+5' · 3–3 · Paris FC 3%, draw 95%, Rennes 2%90+6' · 3–3 · Paris FC 1%, draw 98%, Rennes 1%90+7' · 4–3 · Paris FC 100%, draw 0%, Rennes 0%90+8' · 4–3 · Paris FC 100%, draw 0%, Rennes 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Paris FC 38% to win: they did.

  1. 14'Paris FC:Maxime López 2179 +63 assist Lassine Sinayoko 2205 +59
  2. 23'Rennes:Przemysław Frankowski 2172 −6
  3. 29'Rennes:Esteban Lepaul 2223 −27 (pen.)
  4. 32'Rennes:Djaoui Cissé 2078 0
  5. 36'Rennes:Adrien Thomasson 2136 −6
  6. 36'Rennes:Anthony Rouault 2211 −8
  7. 42'Paris FC:Samir Chergui 2020 +31
  8. 45'Rennes:Valentin Rongier 2172 −9 for Adrien Thomasson 2136 −6
  9. 45'Rennes:Mousa Al-Tamari 2192 −5 for Ludovic Blas 2100 −1
  10. 45'Rennes:Mahamadou Nagida 2095 0 for Przemysław Frankowski 2172 −6
  11. 45+4'Paris FC:Maxime López 2179 +63 assist Lassine Sinayoko 2205 +59
  12. 62'Rennes:Mahdi Camara 2166 −3 for Djaoui Cissé 2078 0
  13. 67'Paris FC:Ilan Kebbal 2118 +21
  14. 70'Paris FC:Rudy Matondo 1862 +9 for Pablo Pagis 2108 +20
  15. 74'Rennes:Esteban Lepaul 2223 −27 (pen.)
  16. 76'Paris FC:Lassine Sinayoko 2205 +59
  17. 79'Paris FC:Otavio 2152 +3 for Hamari Traore 2004 +23
  18. 79'Rennes:Boulaye Dia 2054 −2 for Issa Soumaré 1979 0
  19. 79'Paris FC:Moses Simon 2074 −7* for Ilan Kebbal 2118 +21
  20. 86'Paris FC:Moustapha Mbow 2100 −7* for Luca Koleosho 2053 +29
  21. 86'Paris FC:Emmanuel Mbemba 1823 −6* for Samir Chergui 2020 +31
  22. 88'Rennes:Esteban Lepaul 2223 −27 (pen.)
  23. 90+5'Paris FC:Hamari Traore 2004 +23
  24. 90+7'Paris FC:Lassine Sinayoko 2205 +59 (pen.)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GK. Trapp2098+23
DA. Camara2141+22
DS. Chergui2020+31
DD. Coppola2229+18
DH. Traoré2004+23
MM. Lopez2179+63
MP. Lees-Melou2140+19
MI. Kebbal2118+21
MP. Pagis2108+20
ML. Koleosho2053+29
FL. Sinayoko2205+59
CL. Rosenior2333+23
GB. Samba2221−10
DP. Frankowski2172−6
DC. Cresswell2144−3
DA. Rouault2211−8
DB. Reynolds19240
MS. Szymański2289−14
MD. Cissé20780
MA. Thomasson2136−6
FL. Blas2100−1
FE. Lepaul2223−27
FI. Soumaré19790
CF. Haise2165−9
Before kick-off: 38% · 28% · 34%(Paris FC · draw · Rennes)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–3 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Paris FC €5.5M, Rennes €10.1M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Paris FC

6th in Ligue 1 · 11 pts from 6

  • 10 OctLLorient 2111
  • 19 SepWStrasbourg 2092
  • 12 SepDLyon 2086
  • 6 SepWMarseille 2051
  • 30 AugWNice 2054

Rennes

4th in Ligue 1 · 13 pts from 6

  • 15 OctWOFI 2171
  • 11 OctWAuxerre 2125
  • 19 SepLLyon 2113
  • 16 SepDSturm Graz 2157
  • 11 SepWMarseille 2133

Season outlook

From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Paris FC11 /654.5<1%28%0%5th
Rennes13 /662.31%73%0%2nd
Paris FC
Rennes

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ligue 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko

Paris FC · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2146

S. Szymański
S. Szymański

Rennes · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2303

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Liam James Rosenior

Coach DNA: possession-based

Franck Haise

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Paris FC: possession-based (how Liam James Rosenior plays) · Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.