Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11
Paris FC vs Angers
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Paris FC host Angers on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Paris FC 67%, draw 20%, Angers 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Paris FC €7.1M, Angers €2.4M.
- Style contrast in possession (Ligue 1): Paris FC rank #2 of 18, Angers #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Paris FC goals first.
- 2–013%
- 1–012%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 3–09%
- 3–17%
- Other scores39%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.9 pts
Team Elo: Paris FC 2106 · Angers 1794
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Paris FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2233
Angers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1799
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Paris FC
3rd in Ligue 1 · 20 pts from 10
- 7 NovWAuxerre Ligue 12133
- 1 NovWMonaco Ligue 12120
- 24 OctLLens Ligue 12138
- 18 OctWRennes Ligue 12092
- 10 OctLLorient Ligue 12104
Angers
16th in Ligue 1 · 8 pts from 10
- 8 NovLNice Ligue 11825
- 1 NovLLyon Ligue 11850
- 25 OctDLorient Ligue 11862
- 18 OctLMarseille Ligue 11834
- 10 OctLStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11816
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 20 /10 | 59.8 | <1% | 59% | 0% | 2nd |
| Angers | 8 /10 | 29.8 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Paris FC: possession-based (how L. Rosenior plays) · Angers: balanced profile (how Stéphane Gilli plays)