Czech Liga · Regular Season - 11
Pardubice 3–0 Zlin
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Letni Stadion, Pardubice
PardubiceTeam 1574ZlinTeam 1322- Marek Icha 15'
- Victor Samuel 33'
- Tomas Jelinek 64'
We gave Pardubice 63% to win: they did.
- Marek Icha 1692 +30 assist Ryan Mahuta 1569 +4415'Pardubice:Marek Icha 1692 +30 assist Ryan Mahuta 1569 +44
- Victor Samuel 1636 +30 assist Ioannis Foivos Botos 1606 +2733'Pardubice:Victor Samuel 1636 +30 assist Ioannis Foivos Botos 1606 +27
- 45'Tomáš Poznar 1131 −11 for Daniel Smiga 1370 0Zlin:Tomáš Poznar 1131 −11 for Daniel Smiga 1370 0
- 45'Frank Appiah 1022 0 for Cletus Nombil 1404 0Zlin:Frank Appiah 1022 0 for Cletus Nombil 1404 0
- 55'Michal Fukala 1417 0Zlin:Michal Fukala 1417 0
- 59'Stanley Guzorochi Kanu 1371 −1 for Michal Fukala 1417 0Zlin:Stanley Guzorochi Kanu 1371 −1 for Michal Fukala 1417 0
- Tomas Jelinek 1650 +12 for Ioannis Foivos Botos 1606 +2760'Pardubice:Tomas Jelinek 1650 +12 for Ioannis Foivos Botos 1606 +27
- Tomas Jelinek 1650 +12 assist Václav Drchal 1611 +3264'Pardubice:Tomas Jelinek 1650 +12 assist Václav Drchal 1611 +32
- 69'David Grygera 1164 −8* for Ondřej Kukučka 1382 0Zlin:David Grygera 1164 −8* for Ondřej Kukučka 1382 0
- Kahuan Vinicius 1387 +5 for Victor Samuel 1636 +3071'Pardubice:Kahuan Vinicius 1387 +5 for Victor Samuel 1636 +30
- Martin Reil 1363 +5 for Václav Drchal 1611 +3272'Pardubice:Martin Reil 1363 +5 for Václav Drchal 1611 +32
- 76'Michal Cupák 1403 −1 for David Machalík 1348 −2Zlin:Michal Cupák 1403 −1 for David Machalík 1348 −2
- Mouhamed Tidjane Traore 1458 −6* for Ryan Mahuta 1569 +4485'Pardubice:Mouhamed Tidjane Traore 1458 −6* for Ryan Mahuta 1569 +44
- Jiri Zima 1368 −6* for Marek Icha 1692 +3085'Pardubice:Jiri Zima 1368 −6* for Marek Icha 1692 +30
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 16%(Pardubice · draw · Zlin)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 3–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Pardubice €605K, Zlin €227K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pardubice
14th in Czech Liga · 8 pts from 10
- 11 OctLSparta Praha Czech Liga1625
- 19 SepWBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1564
- 13 SepWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1545
- 5 SepDSlovácko Czech Liga1548
- 29 AugLArtis Czech Liga1529
Zlin
16th in Czech Liga · 1 pts from 10
- 9 OctLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1373
- 20 SepDFK Jablonec Czech Liga1360
- 13 SepLHradec Králové Czech Liga1385
- 6 SepLTeplice Czech Liga1384
- 29 AugLZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1373
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 8 /10 | 33.6 | 0% | 1% | 30% | 13th |
| Zlin | 1 /10 | 15.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pardubice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1823
Zlin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1351
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pardubice: balanced profile (how Jan Trousil plays) · Zlin: direct (how Pavel Hoftych plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.