Czech Liga · Regular Season - 15
Pardubice vs Zbrojovka Brno
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Pardubice host Zbrojovka Brno on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pardubice 48%, draw 27%, Zbrojovka Brno 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pardubice €671K, Zbrojovka Brno €404K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pardubice goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Pardubice 1681 · Zbrojovka Brno 1602
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pardubice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1860
Zbrojovka Brno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1658
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pardubice
12th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 14
- 8 NovWTeplice Czech Liga1660
- 31 OctLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1677
- 25 OctWPlzen Czech Liga1624
- 17 OctWZlin Czech Liga1604
- 11 OctLSparta Praha Czech Liga1617
Zbrojovka Brno
10th in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 14
- 7 NovLBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1624
- 31 OctLSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1625
- 24 OctDBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1633
- 18 OctWSlovácko Czech Liga1615
- 10 OctLFK Jablonec Czech Liga1625
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 17 /14 | 39.9 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 9th |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 20 /14 | 39.3 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct