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Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6

PAOK 1–3 Kalamata

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

PAOK crestPAOKTeam 1961
1–3
Full time
HT 1–1
Kalamata crestKalamataTeam 1536

Match story

PAOK · draw · Kalamata

Before kick-off: 76% · 15% · 8%

Live chances: PAOK 0%, draw 0%, Kalamata 100% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · PAOK 76%, draw 15%, Kalamata 8%2' · 0–0 · PAOK 76%, draw 15%, Kalamata 8%3' · 0–0 · PAOK 76%, draw 15%, Kalamata 9%4' · 0–0 · PAOK 76%, draw 16%, Kalamata 9%5' · 0–0 · PAOK 76%, draw 16%, Kalamata 9%6' · 0–0 · PAOK 75%, draw 16%, Kalamata 9%7' · 0–0 · PAOK 75%, draw 16%, Kalamata 9%8' · 0–0 · PAOK 75%, draw 16%, Kalamata 9%9' · 0–0 · PAOK 75%, draw 16%, Kalamata 9%10' · 0–0 · PAOK 74%, draw 17%, Kalamata 9%11' · 0–0 · PAOK 74%, draw 17%, Kalamata 9%12' · 0–0 · PAOK 74%, draw 17%, Kalamata 9%13' · 0–0 · PAOK 74%, draw 17%, Kalamata 9%14' · 0–0 · PAOK 73%, draw 17%, Kalamata 9%15' · 0–0 · PAOK 73%, draw 18%, Kalamata 9%16' · 0–0 · PAOK 73%, draw 18%, Kalamata 10%17' · 0–0 · PAOK 72%, draw 18%, Kalamata 10%18' · 0–0 · PAOK 72%, draw 18%, Kalamata 10%19' · 0–0 · PAOK 72%, draw 18%, Kalamata 10%20' · 0–0 · PAOK 71%, draw 19%, Kalamata 10%21' · 0–0 · PAOK 71%, draw 19%, Kalamata 10%22' · 0–0 · PAOK 71%, draw 19%, Kalamata 10%24' · 0–0 · PAOK 70%, draw 20%, Kalamata 10%25' · 0–0 · PAOK 70%, draw 20%, Kalamata 10%26' · 0–0 · PAOK 69%, draw 20%, Kalamata 10%27' · 0–0 · PAOK 69%, draw 20%, Kalamata 10%28' · 0–0 · PAOK 69%, draw 21%, Kalamata 10%29' · 0–1 · PAOK 49%, draw 25%, Kalamata 26%30' · 0–1 · PAOK 49%, draw 25%, Kalamata 26%31' · 0–1 · PAOK 48%, draw 25%, Kalamata 27%33' · 0–1 · PAOK 47%, draw 26%, Kalamata 27%34' · 0–1 · PAOK 46%, draw 26%, Kalamata 28%35' · 0–1 · PAOK 46%, draw 26%, Kalamata 28%36' · 0–1 · PAOK 45%, draw 26%, Kalamata 29%37' · 0–1 · PAOK 44%, draw 27%, Kalamata 29%38' · 0–1 · PAOK 44%, draw 27%, Kalamata 30%39' · 0–1 · PAOK 43%, draw 27%, Kalamata 30%40' · 0–1 · PAOK 42%, draw 27%, Kalamata 31%41' · 0–1 · PAOK 41%, draw 27%, Kalamata 31%42' · 0–1 · PAOK 41%, draw 28%, Kalamata 31%43' · 0–1 · PAOK 40%, draw 28%, Kalamata 32%44' · 0–1 · PAOK 39%, draw 28%, Kalamata 32%45' · 1–1 · PAOK 62%, draw 27%, Kalamata 12%45+1' · 1–1 · PAOK 61%, draw 27%, Kalamata 12%45+2' · 1–1 · PAOK 61%, draw 27%, Kalamata 12%45+3' · 1–1 · PAOK 60%, draw 28%, Kalamata 12%HT · 1–1 · PAOK 60%, draw 28%, Kalamata 12%46' · 1–1 · PAOK 60%, draw 28%, Kalamata 12%47' · 1–1 · PAOK 59%, draw 29%, Kalamata 12%48' · 1–1 · PAOK 59%, draw 29%, Kalamata 12%49' · 1–1 · PAOK 58%, draw 30%, Kalamata 12%50' · 1–1 · PAOK 58%, draw 30%, Kalamata 12%51' · 1–1 · PAOK 57%, draw 31%, Kalamata 12%52' · 1–1 · PAOK 56%, draw 31%, Kalamata 12%53' · 1–1 · PAOK 56%, draw 32%, Kalamata 12%54' · 1–1 · PAOK 55%, draw 33%, Kalamata 12%55' · 1–1 · PAOK 54%, draw 34%, Kalamata 12%56' · 1–1 · PAOK 53%, draw 34%, Kalamata 12%57' · 1–2 · PAOK 26%, draw 31%, Kalamata 43%58' · 1–2 · PAOK 25%, draw 31%, Kalamata 44%59' · 1–2 · PAOK 24%, draw 31%, Kalamata 44%60' · 1–2 · PAOK 23%, draw 31%, Kalamata 45%61' · 1–2 · PAOK 23%, draw 31%, Kalamata 46%62' · 1–2 · PAOK 22%, draw 31%, Kalamata 47%63' · 1–2 · PAOK 11%, draw 26%, Kalamata 64%64' · 1–2 · PAOK 10%, draw 25%, Kalamata 64%65' · 1–2 · PAOK 10%, draw 25%, Kalamata 65%66' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 6%, Kalamata 93%67' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 5%, Kalamata 94%68' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 5%, Kalamata 94%69' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 5%, Kalamata 94%70' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 5%, Kalamata 95%71' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 4%, Kalamata 95%72' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 4%, Kalamata 95%74' · 1–3 · PAOK 1%, draw 4%, Kalamata 96%75' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 3%, Kalamata 96%76' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 3%, Kalamata 96%77' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 3%, Kalamata 97%78' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 3%, Kalamata 97%80' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 2%, Kalamata 97%81' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 2%, Kalamata 98%82' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 2%, Kalamata 98%83' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 2%, Kalamata 98%84' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 2%, Kalamata 98%85' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 1%, Kalamata 99%86' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 1%, Kalamata 99%87' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 1%, Kalamata 99%88' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 1%, Kalamata 99%89' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 1%, Kalamata 99%90' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 1%, Kalamata 99%90+1' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 0%, Kalamata 100%90+2' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 0%, Kalamata 100%90+3' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 0%, Kalamata 100%90+4' · 1–3 · PAOK 0%, draw 0%, Kalamata 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave PAOK 76% to win: Kalamata won.

  1. 28'Kalamata:Kenneth Vargas 1802 +145* (pen.)
  2. 43'Kalamata:Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro 1716 +48*
  3. 44'PAOK:Cherif Ndiaye 1987 −62*
  4. 45'PAOK:Andrija Živković 2042 −35 for Dimitrios Chatsidis 1793 −8*
  5. 45'PAOK:Aritz Elustondo 1946 −13* for Giannis Michailidis 2078 −14
  6. 56'Kalamata:Kenneth Vargas 1802 +145* assist Julio Alonso 1856 +99*
  7. 60'Kalamata:David Kurminowski 1780 +143*
  8. 62'PAOK:Antonis Tsiftsis 1901 −8*
  9. 63'PAOK:Dimitrios Monastirlis 1332 −8* for Dimitrios Pelkas 1801 −12*
  10. 66'Kalamata:David Kurminowski 1780 +143* assist Julio Alonso 1856 +99*
  11. 73'Kalamata:M. Bakayoko 1385 +14* for Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira 1857 +17*
  12. 74'PAOK:Simon Banza 1951 −10* for Taison Barcellos Freda 1700 −20*
  13. 74'PAOK:Ognjen ugresic 1764 −8* for Kristijan Jakić 2013 −14
  14. 78'Kalamata:J. Cataldi 1376 +7* for Djibril Diarra 1378 +110*
  15. 84'Kalamata:Argyrios Liatsikouras 1750 −5* for Ahmad Mendes Moreira 1596 +65*
  16. 84'Kalamata:Arnór Sigurðsson 1744 +2 for Erik Hamza 1573 +74*
  17. 84'Kalamata:Josete Miranda 1462 −2* for David Kurminowski 1780 +143*
  18. 89'PAOK:Aritz Elustondo 1946 −13*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GA. Tsiftsis1901−8*
DJ. Kenny2006−25*
DDiego Costa2090−43*
DG. Michailidis2078−14
DA. Baba1986−23*
MC. Zafeiris2051−25
MK. Jakić2013−14
MD. Chatsidis1793−8*
MD. Pelkas1801−12*
MTaison1700−20*
FC. Ndiaye1987−62*
CA. Lisci2000−40*
GN. Vasiljević1686+260*
DP. Kaloutsikidis1560+84*
DS. Stroungis1602+73*
DRodrigues1857+17*
DJulio Alonso1856+99*
MG. Piñeiro1716+48*
MK. Vargas1802+145*
ME. Hamza1573+74*
MD. Diarra1378+110*
MA. Mendes Moreira1596+65*
FD. Kurminowski1780+143*
CPanagiotis Christofileas1631+161*
Before kick-off: 76% · 15% · 8%(PAOK · draw · Kalamata)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 1–3 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: PAOK €3.0M, Kalamata €412K.
  • Draw chance was 16%, below the Super League 1 average of 23% this round.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

PAOK

4th in Super League 1 · 12 pts from 5

  • 20 SepWPanetolikos 1981
  • 13 SepWAris Thessalonikis 1942
  • 6 SepLPanathinaikos 1976
  • 30 AugWAtromitos 1955
  • 27 AugLBrann 1968

Kalamata

11th in Super League 1 · 4 pts from 5

  • 20 SepLPanathinaikos 1553
  • 13 SepWVolos NFC 1561
  • 6 SepDAtromitos 1541
  • 29 AugLPanetolikos 1502

Season outlook

From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
PAOK12 /550.511%89%0%4th
Kalamata4 /521.60%0%69%14th
PAOK
Kalamata

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super League 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Michailidis
G. Michailidis

PAOK · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2093

S. Stroungis
S. Stroungis

Kalamata · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1529

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alessio Lisci

Coach DNA: direct

Panagiotis Christofileas

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.