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Super League 1 · Regular Season - 7

PAOK 2–1 Iraklis 1908

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

PAOK crestPAOKTeam 1933
2–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Iraklis 1908 crestIraklis 1908Team 1655

Match story

PAOK · draw · Iraklis 1908

Before kick-off: 64% · 22% · 15%

Live chances: PAOK 100%, draw 0%, Iraklis 1908 0% at 90+11'1' · 0–0 · PAOK 64%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 15%2' · 0–0 · PAOK 63%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 15%3' · 0–0 · PAOK 63%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 15%4' · 0–0 · PAOK 63%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 15%5' · 0–0 · PAOK 63%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 15%6' · 0–0 · PAOK 63%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 15%7' · 0–0 · PAOK 63%, draw 23%, Iraklis 1908 15%8' · 0–0 · PAOK 62%, draw 23%, Iraklis 1908 15%9' · 0–0 · PAOK 62%, draw 23%, Iraklis 1908 15%10' · 0–0 · PAOK 62%, draw 23%, Iraklis 1908 15%11' · 0–0 · PAOK 62%, draw 23%, Iraklis 1908 15%12' · 0–0 · PAOK 61%, draw 23%, Iraklis 1908 15%13' · 0–0 · PAOK 61%, draw 24%, Iraklis 1908 15%14' · 0–0 · PAOK 61%, draw 24%, Iraklis 1908 15%15' · 0–0 · PAOK 61%, draw 24%, Iraklis 1908 15%16' · 0–0 · PAOK 60%, draw 24%, Iraklis 1908 15%17' · 0–0 · PAOK 60%, draw 24%, Iraklis 1908 15%18' · 0–0 · PAOK 60%, draw 24%, Iraklis 1908 16%19' · 0–0 · PAOK 60%, draw 25%, Iraklis 1908 16%20' · 0–0 · PAOK 60%, draw 25%, Iraklis 1908 16%21' · 0–0 · PAOK 59%, draw 25%, Iraklis 1908 16%22' · 0–0 · PAOK 59%, draw 25%, Iraklis 1908 16%23' · 0–0 · PAOK 59%, draw 25%, Iraklis 1908 16%24' · 0–0 · PAOK 58%, draw 26%, Iraklis 1908 16%25' · 0–0 · PAOK 58%, draw 26%, Iraklis 1908 16%26' · 0–0 · PAOK 58%, draw 26%, Iraklis 1908 16%27' · 0–0 · PAOK 58%, draw 26%, Iraklis 1908 16%28' · 0–0 · PAOK 57%, draw 27%, Iraklis 1908 16%29' · 0–0 · PAOK 57%, draw 27%, Iraklis 1908 16%30' · 0–0 · PAOK 57%, draw 27%, Iraklis 1908 16%31' · 0–0 · PAOK 57%, draw 27%, Iraklis 1908 16%32' · 0–0 · PAOK 56%, draw 27%, Iraklis 1908 16%33' · 0–0 · PAOK 56%, draw 28%, Iraklis 1908 16%34' · 0–0 · PAOK 56%, draw 28%, Iraklis 1908 16%35' · 0–0 · PAOK 55%, draw 28%, Iraklis 1908 16%36' · 0–0 · PAOK 55%, draw 29%, Iraklis 1908 16%37' · 0–0 · PAOK 55%, draw 29%, Iraklis 1908 17%38' · 0–0 · PAOK 54%, draw 29%, Iraklis 1908 17%39' · 0–0 · PAOK 54%, draw 29%, Iraklis 1908 17%40' · 0–0 · PAOK 54%, draw 30%, Iraklis 1908 17%41' · 0–0 · PAOK 53%, draw 30%, Iraklis 1908 17%42' · 0–0 · PAOK 53%, draw 30%, Iraklis 1908 17%43' · 0–0 · PAOK 53%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 17%44' · 0–0 · PAOK 52%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 17%45' · 0–0 · PAOK 52%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 17%45+1' · 0–0 · PAOK 51%, draw 32%, Iraklis 1908 17%45+2' · 0–0 · PAOK 51%, draw 32%, Iraklis 1908 17%HT · 0–0 · PAOK 50%, draw 33%, Iraklis 1908 17%47' · 0–0 · PAOK 50%, draw 33%, Iraklis 1908 17%48' · 0–0 · PAOK 50%, draw 34%, Iraklis 1908 17%49' · 0–0 · PAOK 49%, draw 34%, Iraklis 1908 17%50' · 0–1 · PAOK 25%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 44%51' · 0–1 · PAOK 25%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 44%52' · 0–1 · PAOK 24%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 45%53' · 0–1 · PAOK 23%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 46%54' · 0–1 · PAOK 23%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 46%55' · 0–1 · PAOK 22%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 47%56' · 0–1 · PAOK 21%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 48%57' · 0–1 · PAOK 20%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 49%58' · 0–1 · PAOK 20%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 49%60' · 0–2 · PAOK 4%, draw 11%, Iraklis 1908 85%61' · 0–1 · PAOK 18%, draw 31%, Iraklis 1908 51%62' · 1–1 · PAOK 41%, draw 42%, Iraklis 1908 16%63' · 1–1 · PAOK 41%, draw 43%, Iraklis 1908 16%64' · 1–1 · PAOK 40%, draw 44%, Iraklis 1908 16%65' · 1–1 · PAOK 39%, draw 45%, Iraklis 1908 16%66' · 1–1 · PAOK 39%, draw 45%, Iraklis 1908 16%67' · 1–1 · PAOK 38%, draw 46%, Iraklis 1908 16%68' · 1–1 · PAOK 37%, draw 47%, Iraklis 1908 16%69' · 1–1 · PAOK 37%, draw 48%, Iraklis 1908 15%70' · 1–1 · PAOK 36%, draw 49%, Iraklis 1908 15%71' · 1–1 · PAOK 35%, draw 50%, Iraklis 1908 15%72' · 1–1 · PAOK 34%, draw 51%, Iraklis 1908 15%73' · 1–1 · PAOK 33%, draw 52%, Iraklis 1908 15%74' · 1–1 · PAOK 33%, draw 53%, Iraklis 1908 14%75' · 1–1 · PAOK 32%, draw 54%, Iraklis 1908 14%76' · 1–1 · PAOK 31%, draw 55%, Iraklis 1908 14%77' · 1–1 · PAOK 30%, draw 57%, Iraklis 1908 14%78' · 1–1 · PAOK 29%, draw 58%, Iraklis 1908 13%79' · 1–1 · PAOK 28%, draw 59%, Iraklis 1908 13%80' · 1–1 · PAOK 27%, draw 61%, Iraklis 1908 12%81' · 1–1 · PAOK 26%, draw 62%, Iraklis 1908 12%83' · 1–1 · PAOK 23%, draw 66%, Iraklis 1908 11%84' · 1–2 · PAOK 4%, draw 22%, Iraklis 1908 74%85' · 1–2 · PAOK 3%, draw 21%, Iraklis 1908 76%86' · 1–2 · PAOK 3%, draw 20%, Iraklis 1908 77%87' · 1–1 · PAOK 18%, draw 73%, Iraklis 1908 9%88' · 1–1 · PAOK 17%, draw 75%, Iraklis 1908 8%89' · 1–1 · PAOK 15%, draw 77%, Iraklis 1908 8%90' · 1–1 · PAOK 13%, draw 80%, Iraklis 1908 7%90+1' · 1–1 · PAOK 16%, draw 80%, Iraklis 1908 4%90+2' · 2–1 · PAOK 97%, draw 3%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+3' · 2–1 · PAOK 97%, draw 3%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+4' · 2–1 · PAOK 98%, draw 2%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+5' · 2–1 · PAOK 99%, draw 1%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+6' · 2–1 · PAOK 100%, draw 0%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+8' · 2–1 · PAOK 100%, draw 0%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+9' · 2–1 · PAOK 100%, draw 0%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+10' · 2–1 · PAOK 100%, draw 0%, Iraklis 1908 0%90+11' · 2–1 · PAOK 100%, draw 0%, Iraklis 1908 0%

Last reading, 90+11': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave PAOK 64% to win: they did.

  1. 7'PAOK:Dimitrios Giannoulis 2006 −5*
  2. 21'Iraklis 1908:Carles Soria 1734 −2
  3. 41'PAOK:Andrija Živković 2059 +17
  4. 49'Iraklis 1908:Pedro Marques 1761 −1 assist Carles Soria 1734 −2
  5. 53'PAOK:Simon Banza 1961 +9 for Kristijan Jakić 2017 +3
  6. 62'PAOK:Simon Banza 1961 +9 assist Andrija Živković 2059 +17
  7. 63'PAOK:Tom Louchet 1991 −5* for Ognjen ugresic 1775 +12
  8. 63'PAOK:Abdul Rahman Baba 1985 −1 for Dimitrios Giannoulis 2006 −5*
  9. 64'PAOK:Tom Louchet 1991 −5*
  10. 68'Iraklis 1908:Vassilis Sourlis 1566 0
  11. 71'Iraklis 1908:Yohan Roche 1672 −1
  12. 72'Iraklis 1908:Xande Silva 1750 −2 for Ivi López 1720 −4
  13. 72'Iraklis 1908:Marco Krainz 1348 −2 for Vassilis Sourlis 1566 0
  14. 75'Iraklis 1908:Nemanja Radoja 1583 −6
  15. 90'Iraklis 1908:Yohan Roche 1672 −1
  16. 90+2'PAOK:Giannis Michailidis 2094 +16 assist Andrija Živković 2059 +17
  17. 90+5'Iraklis 1908:Kristian Kushta 1335 −9* for Carles Soria 1734 −2
  18. 90+5'Iraklis 1908:Sofian Chakla 1497 −5 for Nemanja Radoja 1583 −6
  19. 90+5'PAOK:Mady Camara 1880 −9* for Taison Barcellos Freda 1708 +8
  20. 90+5'PAOK:Baptiste Santamaria 1921 −11* for Cherif Ndiaye 1994 +7
  21. 90+8'Iraklis 1908:Adam Žulevič 1168 −8* for Praxitelis Vouros 1806 −4
  22. 90+9'Iraklis 1908:Marco Krainz 1348 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations5-4-1
GD. Monastirlis1366+34
DJ. Kenny2012+7
DDiego Costa2096+5
DG. Michailidis2094+16
DD. Giannoulis2006−5*
MC. Zafeiris2058+7
MK. Jakić2017+3
MA. Živković2059+17
MO. Ugresić1775+12
MTaison1708+8
FC. Ndiaye1994+7
CA. Lisci2015+16
GG. Athanasiadis1956−9
DCarles Soria1734−2
DP. Vouros1806−4
DPiña1731−3
DY. Roche1672−1
DNanu1714−4
MIvi López1720−4
MV. Sourlis15660
MN. Radoja1583−6
MR. Nizet16050
FPedro Marques1761−1
CW. Mazzarri1881−7
Before kick-off: 64% · 22% · 15%(PAOK · draw · Iraklis 1908)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: PAOK €3.7M, Iraklis 1908 €466K.
  • Iraklis 1908 were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

PAOK

4th in Super League 1 · 12 pts from 6

  • 12 OctLKalamata 1969
  • 20 SepWPanetolikos 1981
  • 13 SepWAris Thessalonikis 1942
  • 6 SepLPanathinaikos 1976
  • 30 AugWAtromitos 1955

Iraklis 1908

7th in Super League 1 · 9 pts from 6

  • 11 OctWLevadiakos 1682
  • 19 SepDAris Thessalonikis 1673
  • 12 SepDAtromitos 1657
  • 7 SepWAsteras Tripolis 1642
  • 29 AugDVolos NFC 1626

Season outlook

From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
PAOK12 /647.97%79%0%4th
Iraklis 19089 /630.50%1%11%8th
PAOK
Iraklis 1908

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super League 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Michailidis
G. Michailidis

PAOK · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2078

Y. Roche
Y. Roche

Iraklis 1908 · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1673

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alessio Lisci

Coach DNA: direct

Walter Mazzarri

Coach DNA: direct

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.