Super League 1 · Regular Season - 9
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
PAOK host Asteras Tripolis on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Super League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: PAOK 63%, draw 22%, Asteras Tripolis 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: PAOK €3.2M, Asteras Tripolis €599K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Super League 1): PAOK rank #3 of 14, Asteras Tripolis #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. PAOK goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: PAOK 1961 · Asteras Tripolis 1688
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
PAOK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2094
Asteras Tripolis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1947
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
PAOK
3rd in Super League 1 · 15 pts from 7
- 18 OctWIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1937
- 12 OctLKalamata Greece Super League1969
- 20 SepWPanetolikos Greece Super League1981
- 13 SepWAris Thessalonikis Greece Super League1942
- 6 SepLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1976
Asteras Tripolis
11th in Super League 1 · 5 pts from 7
- 18 OctLPanathinaikos Greece Super League1687
- 10 OctWAtromitos Greece Super League1684
- 20 SepDOFI Greece Super League1674
- 13 SepDAEK Athens FC Greece Super League1654
- 7 SepLIraklis 1908 Greece Super League1662
Season outlook
From the Super League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 15 /7 | 47.5 | 4% | 78% | 0% | 4th |
| Asteras Tripolis | 5 /7 | 26.9 | 0% | <1% | 30% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
PAOK: possession-based (how Alessio Lisci plays) · Asteras Tripolis: balanced profile (how Giorgos Antonopoulos plays)