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Super League 1 · Regular Season - 7

Panetolikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinon

Panetolikos crestPanetolikosTeam 1573
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Olympiakos Piraeus crestOlympiakos PiraeusTeam 2065

Match story

Panetolikos · draw · Olympiakos Piraeus

Before kick-off: 10% · 18% · 72%

Live chances: Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 10%, draw 18%, Olympiakos Piraeus 71%3' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 10%, draw 18%, Olympiakos Piraeus 71%4' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 18%, Olympiakos Piraeus 71%5' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 71%6' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 71%7' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%8' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%9' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%10' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%11' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 69%12' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 69%13' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 69%14' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 69%15' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 68%16' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 68%17' · 0–0 · Panetolikos 11%, draw 21%, Olympiakos Piraeus 68%18' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%19' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%20' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%21' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%22' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%23' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%24' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%25' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%26' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%27' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%28' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%29' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 5%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%30' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%31' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%32' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%33' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%34' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%35' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%36' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%37' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%38' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%39' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%40' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%41' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%42' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%43' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%44' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%45' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%45+1' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%45+2' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%45+3' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%HT · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%46' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%47' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%48' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%49' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%50' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%51' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%52' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%53' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%54' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%55' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 4%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%56' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%57' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%58' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%59' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%60' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%61' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%62' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%63' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%64' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%65' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%66' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%67' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 3%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%68' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 2%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%69' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 2%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%70' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 2%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%71' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 2%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%72' · 0–1 · Panetolikos 2%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%73' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 2%, Olympiakos Piraeus 98%74' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 98%75' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%76' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%77' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%78' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%79' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%80' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%81' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%82' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%83' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%84' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%85' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%86' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 1%, Olympiakos Piraeus 99%87' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%88' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%89' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%90' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Panetolikos 0%, draw 0%, Olympiakos Piraeus 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Olympiakos Piraeus 72% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Olympiakos Piraeus:Joel Roca 1850 +18*
  2. 17'Olympiakos Piraeus:Joel Roca 1850 +18*
  3. 22'Panetolikos:Marvelous Nakamba 1602 −5 for Gustav Granath 1747 −2
  4. 24'Panetolikos:Kwadwo Opoku 1704 −2
  5. 38'Olympiakos Piraeus:Gelson Martins 2107 +1 for Kostas Fortounis 1931 +8
  6. 45'Panetolikos:Athanasios Prodromitis 1326 −8* for Charis Mavrias 1699 −5
  7. 56'Panetolikos:Novica Eraković 1679 −8* for Moussa Djenepo 1700 −2
  8. 63'Olympiakos Piraeus:Jota Silva 2052 +7 for Joel Roca 1850 +18*
  9. 63'Olympiakos Piraeus:Chiquinho 2146 +2 for Gustavo Sá 1939 +8
  10. 68'Panetolikos:Athanasios Prodromitis 1326 −8*
  11. 73'Olympiakos Piraeus:Chiquinho 2146 +2 assist Jota Silva 2052 +7
  12. 80'Panetolikos:Kosta Aleksic 1697 −1 for Mateo Mejia 1235 0
  13. 80'Panetolikos:Lampros Smyrlis 1390 0 for Amine Bassi 1820 −7
  14. 80'Olympiakos Piraeus:Armando González 2045 +1 for Marius Mouandilmadji 1944 +9
  15. 80'Olympiakos Piraeus:Santiago Hezze 2186 +1 for Gustavo Puerta 2142 +6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GS. Ortega2278+9
DM. Pedersen2146+19
DP. Retsos2285+10
DL. Pirola2239+13
DN. Tiknizyan2126+7
MR. Freuler2267−2
MG. Puerta2142+6
MK. Fortounis1931+8
MGustavo Sá1939+8
MJoel Roca1850+18*
FM. Mouandilmadji1944+9
CImanol Alguacil2115+14
Before kick-off: 10% · 18% · 72%(Panetolikos · draw · Olympiakos Piraeus)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Panetolikos €654K, Olympiakos Piraeus €4.7M.
  • Super League 1: S. Ortega was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2269).
  • Style contrast in attacking (Super League 1): Panetolikos ranked #14 of 14, Olympiakos Piraeus #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Panetolikos

8th in Super League 1 · 9 pts from 6

  • 11 OctLKifisia 1652
  • 20 SepLPAOK 1650
  • 13 SepLPanathinaikos 1713
  • 6 SepWLevadiakos 1687
  • 29 AugWKalamata 1690

Olympiakos Piraeus

3rd in Super League 1 · 13 pts from 6

  • 15 OctWMarseille 2104
  • 11 OctWPanathinaikos 2087
  • 20 SepWLevadiakos 2060
  • 16 SepWJagiellonia 2086
  • 12 SepLOFI 2092

Season outlook

From the Super League 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Panetolikos9 /630.00%1%13%8th
Olympiakos Piraeus13 /653.934%96%0%1st
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super League 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Granath
G. Granath

Panetolikos · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1749

R. Freuler
R. Freuler

Olympiakos Piraeus · +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2269

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Yannis Anastasiou

Coach DNA: low-volume · direct

Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Panetolikos: balanced profile (how Yannis Anastasiou plays) · Olympiakos Piraeus: creative · shot-heavy (how Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.