Serie A · Regular Season - 34
Palmeiras vs Remo
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo
Palmeiras host Remo on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Palmeiras 79%, draw 14%, Remo 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Palmeiras €8.1M, Remo €778K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Série A matchday 34: 402 points.
- Draw chance 14%, below the Série A average of 26% this round.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Série A): Palmeiras rank #1 of 20, Remo #19.
- Palmeiras' expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Palmeiras goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–18%
- 3–18%
- 4–07%
- 1–06%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Palmeiras 2145 · Remo 1743
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Palmeiras · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Good) · Elo 2194
Remo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1744
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Palmeiras
2nd in Série A · 66 pts from 31
- 22 OctLFluminense Copa Libertadores2181
- 17 OctWAtletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A2160
- 15 OctWFluminense Copa Libertadores2155
- 11 OctWCorinthians Brazil Serie A2153
- 9 OctWBahia Brazil Serie A2128
Remo
19th in Série A · 26 pts from 31
- 18 OctDRB Bragantino Brazil Serie A1745
- 10 OctDVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1689
- 7 OctDGremio Brazil Serie A1735
- 19 SepLSantos Brazil Serie A1746
- 14 SepLBahia Brazil Serie A1751
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 66 /31 | 79.5 | 29% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Remo | 26 /31 | 33.1 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Palmeiras: shot-heavy (how Abel Ferreira plays) · Remo: balanced profile (how Thiago Carpini plays)