Primera División · Regular Season - 28
Palestino vs Union La Calera
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
Palestino host Union La Calera on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Palestino 37%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Palestino €265K, Union La Calera €304K.
- Home advantage makes Palestino the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Palestino goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 0–110%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Palestino 1520 · Union La Calera 1524
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Palestino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1510
Union La Calera · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1575
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Palestino
7th in Primera División · 38 pts from 27
- 7 NovLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1512
- 2 NovLConcepción Chile Primera Division1528
- 25 OctDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1525
- 11 OctDDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1534
- 12 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1557
Union La Calera
16th in Primera División · 24 pts from 27
- 8 NovWHuachipato Chile Primera Division1532
- 30 OctLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1503
- 25 OctWU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1459
- 11 OctDConcepción Chile Primera Division1480
- 14 SepWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1448
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 38 /27 | 41.8 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 7th |
| Union La Calera | 24 /27 | 27.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Palestino: balanced profile (how G. Farré plays) · Union La Calera: balanced profile (how J. Armijo plays)