Serie B · Regular Season - 13
Palermo vs Sudtirol
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Palermo host Sudtirol on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Palermo 69%, draw 19%, Sudtirol 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Palermo €2.1M, Sudtirol €675K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie B matchday 13: 324 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Serie B average of 27% this round.
- Serie B: M. Perin is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2062).
- Style contrast in attacking (Serie B): Palermo rank #2 of 20, Sudtirol #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Palermo goals first.
- 2–013%
- 1–013%
- 2–110%
- 3–09%
- 1–19%
- 3–17%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Palermo 1940 · Sudtirol 1616
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Palermo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1978
Sudtirol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1609
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Palermo
1st in Serie B · 27 pts from 11
- 6 NovDAscoli Italy Serie B1939
- 1 NovWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1967
- 28 OctDPisa Italy Serie B1927
- 25 OctWCarrarese Italy Serie B1956
- 17 OctWMantova Italy Serie B1958
Sudtirol
12th in Serie B · 15 pts from 11
- 7 NovDPisa Italy Serie B1601
- 31 OctDCesena Italy Serie B1607
- 27 OctLPadova Italy Serie B1574
- 24 OctDSampdoria Italy Serie B1603
- 18 OctLJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1635
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 27 /11 | 78.9 | 87% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Sudtirol | 15 /11 | 46.0 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Palermo: balanced profile (how Filippo Inzaghi plays) · Sudtirol: direct (how Davide Possanzini plays)