NB I · Regular Season - 13
Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Paks host Zalaegerszegi TE on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Paks 33%, draw 29%, Zalaegerszegi TE 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Paks €327K, Zalaegerszegi TE €457K.
- Style contrast in attacking (NB I): Paks rank #2 of 10, Zalaegerszegi TE #8.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Paks goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Paks 1576 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1627
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Paks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1527
Zalaegerszegi TE · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1713
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Paks
6th in NB I · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctLGyori ETO FC NB I1600
- 10 OctWMTK Budapest NB I1553
- 19 SepWKisvarda FC NB I1537
- 5 SepLDebreceni VSC NB I1554
- 29 AugDNyiregyhaza NB I1579
Zalaegerszegi TE
11th in NB I · 9 pts from 10
- 18 OctLDebreceni VSC NB I1657
- 11 OctWNyiregyhaza NB I1612
- 20 SepLUjpest NB I1614
- 6 SepWPuskas Academy NB I1593
- 29 AugLBudapest Honved NB I1601
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 14 /10 | 44.6 | <1% | 18% | 8% | 5th |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | 9 /10 | 42.8 | <1% | 11% | 13% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Paks: high-pressing · direct (how György Bognár plays) · Zalaegerszegi TE: balanced profile (how Filipe Çelikkaya plays)