NB I · Regular Season - 10
Paks 1–2 Gyori ETO FC
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
PaksTeam 1579Gyori ETO FCTeam 1707- Barna Tóth 47'
- viktor djukanovic 39', 42'
We gave Gyori ETO FC 45% to win: they did.
- Kristóf Papp –8'Paks:Kristóf Papp –
- 29'Élan RicardoGyori ETO FC:Élan Ricardo
- 39'viktor djukanovic – assist Luka Kulenović –Gyori ETO FC:viktor djukanovic – assist Luka Kulenović –
- milan gyorfi –41'Paks:milan gyorfi –
- 42'viktor djukanovic – assist Daniel Štefulj –Gyori ETO FC:viktor djukanovic – assist Daniel Štefulj –
- Kevin Horvath – for József Windecker –45'Paks:Kevin Horvath – for József Windecker –
- Jozsef Szalai – for Zsolt Haraszti –45'Paks:Jozsef Szalai – for Zsolt Haraszti –
- M. Simuț – for milan gyorfi –45'Paks:M. Simuț – for milan gyorfi –
- Barna Tóth – assist Milan Pető –47'Paks:Barna Tóth – assist Milan Pető –
- 65'Á. Umathum – for Marcell huszar –Gyori ETO FC:Á. Umathum – for Marcell huszar –
- 65'Željko Gavrić – for Élan RicardoGyori ETO FC:Željko Gavrić – for Élan Ricardo
- 76'Kevin Bánáti – for Jewison Bennette –Gyori ETO FC:Kevin Bánáti – for Jewison Bennette –
- János Hahn – for Barna Tóth –76'Paks:János Hahn – for Barna Tóth –
- Balázs Wiesner – for Gabor Vas –81'Paks:Balázs Wiesner – for Gabor Vas –
- 84'Stefan Vlădoiu – for viktor djukanovic –Gyori ETO FC:Stefan Vlădoiu – for viktor djukanovic –
- 84'M. Marong for Luka Kulenović –Gyori ETO FC:M. Marong for Luka Kulenović –
- Balázs Wiesner –85'Paks:Balázs Wiesner –
Before kick-off (provisional): 27% · 28% · 45%(Paks · draw · Gyori ETO FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Paks €275K, Gyori ETO FC €688K.
- Style contrast in possession (NB I): Paks ranked #10 of 10, Gyori ETO FC #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Paks
5th in NB I · 14 pts from 9
- 10 OctWMTK Budapest NB I1553
- 19 SepWKisvarda FC NB I1537
- 5 SepLDebreceni VSC NB I1554
- 29 AugDNyiregyhaza NB I1579
- 21 AugWUjpest NB I1526
Gyori ETO FC
3rd in NB I · 15 pts from 9
- 11 OctLPuskas Academy NB I1685
- 20 SepWMTK Budapest NB I1703
- 6 SepWBudapest Honved NB I1679
- 3 SepLFerencvarosi TC NB I1724
- 30 AugDKisvarda FC NB I1734
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 14 /9 | 46.9 | <1% | 29% | 4% | 5th |
| Gyori ETO FC | 15 /9 | 55.5 | 6% | 82% | <1% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Paks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1534
Gyori ETO FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1915
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Paks: high-pressing · direct (how György Bognár plays) · Gyori ETO FC: balanced profile (how Efraín Juárez Váldez plays)