Super League · Regular Season - 27
Pakhtakor vs Kokand-1912
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent
Pakhtakor host Kokand-1912 on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pakhtakor 64%, draw 21%, Kokand-1912 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pakhtakor €521K, Kokand-1912 €138K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super League matchday 27: 277 points.
- Draw chance 21%, below the Super League average of 28% this round.
- Super League: K. Alijonov is the highest-rated defender (1791).
- M. Akhbari, I. Malikdzhonov, G. Gulyamov, A. Toshtemirov, Ehor Kondratyuk, S. Gvazava, S. Gadoev, S. Nimely, S. Akramov, J. Yoqubov and J. Sidikov (Kokand-1912) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pakhtakor goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Pakhtakor 1645 · Kokand-1912 1368
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pakhtakor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1677
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pakhtakor
2nd in Super League · 53 pts from 25
- 12 OctDAl-Qadisiyah FC AFC Champions League1641
- 11 AugWAl Hussein AFC Champions League1634
- 1 AugDAndijan Uzbekistan Super League1613
- 28 AprDNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1662
- 22 AprWBuxoro Uzbekistan Super League1657
Kokand-1912
14th in Super League · 23 pts from 24
- 24 AprLQizilqum Uzbekistan Super League1369
- 19 AprDAndijan Uzbekistan Super League1380
- 14 AprDXorazm Uzbekistan Super League1329
- 8 AprDNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1339
- 2 AprDSogdiana Uzbekistan Super League1340
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor | 53 /25 | 62.7 | 13% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Kokand-1912 | 23 /24 | 30.0 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –