1. Division · Regular Season - 9
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Pafos host Omonia 29is Maiou on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Pafos 75%, draw 16%, Omonia 29is Maiou 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pafos €1.3M, Omonia 29is Maiou €223K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Division matchday 9: 413 points.
- Draw chance 16%, below the 1. Division average of 24% this round.
- 1. Division: R. Majecki is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1991).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Pafos goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Pafos 1801 · Omonia 29is Maiou 1388
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pafos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1817
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pafos
5th in 1. Division · 11 pts from 6
- 22 OctDRiga UEFA Conference League1780
- 19 OctDApoel Nicosia Cypriot First Division1796
- 15 OctLAtalanta UEFA Conference League1800
- 11 OctWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1799
- 18 SepLAEL Cypriot First Division1774
Omonia 29is Maiou
8th in 1. Division · 8 pts from 6
- 18 OctWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1304
- 11 OctLAEL Cypriot First Division1362
- 18 SepLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1286
- 13 SepDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1283
- 4 SepDKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1288
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 11 /6 | 49.7 | 19% | 80% | 0% | 2nd |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 8 /6 | 25.0 | 0% | 0% | 39% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –