Serie B · Regular Season - 7
Padova 1–2 Virtus Entella
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua
PadovaTeam 1701Virtus EntellaTeam 1605- Stefano Di Mario 28' (og)
- Tommaso Annoni 54'
- Bernat Guiu 84'
We gave Padova 51% to win: Virtus Entella won.
- Stefano Di Mario (own goal)28'Padova:Stefano Di Mario (own goal)
- 54'Tommaso Annoni – assist Andrea Tiritiello –Virtus Entella:Tommaso Annoni – assist Andrea Tiritiello –
- Alexander Seghetti – for Kevin Lasagna –57'Padova:Alexander Seghetti – for Kevin Lasagna –
- Pietro Fusi – for Marco Pompetti –57'Padova:Pietro Fusi – for Marco Pompetti –
- 68'Leonardo Benedetti – for Tommaso Annoni –Virtus Entella:Leonardo Benedetti – for Tommaso Annoni –
- 68'Bernat Guiu – for M Tirelli –Virtus Entella:Bernat Guiu – for M Tirelli –
- Luca Moro – for Gabriele Artistico –71'Padova:Luca Moro – for Gabriele Artistico –
- Alessandro Capelli – for Lorenzo Carissoni –71'Padova:Alessandro Capelli – for Lorenzo Carissoni –
- Giovanni·Giunti –74'Padova:Giovanni·Giunti –
- 76'Giacomo Corona – for Luigi Cuppone –Virtus Entella:Giacomo Corona – for Luigi Cuppone –
- 76'Luca Vignali – for Niccolo Squizzato –Virtus Entella:Luca Vignali – for Niccolo Squizzato –
- Nicolas Galazzi – for Giovanni·Giunti –80'Padova:Nicolas Galazzi – for Giovanni·Giunti –
- 84'Bernat Guiu – assist Luca Vignali –Virtus Entella:Bernat Guiu – assist Luca Vignali –
- 90+2'Nicolas Previtali – for Francesco Mezzoni –Virtus Entella:Nicolas Previtali – for Francesco Mezzoni –
- 90+4'Andrea Franzoni –Virtus Entella:Andrea Franzoni –
Before kick-off (provisional): 51% · 27% · 23%(Padova · draw · Virtus Entella)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Padova €926K, Virtus Entella €552K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Padova
11th in Serie B · 7 pts from 6
- 11 OctLCarrarese Italy Serie B1713
- 19 SepLPalermo Italy Serie B1646
- 12 SepWAscoli Italy Serie B1677
- 6 SepLCremonese Italy Serie B1734
- 29 AugDHellas Verona Italy Serie B1738
Virtus Entella
14th in Serie B · 6 pts from 6
- 10 OctDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1681
- 19 SepDCremonese Italy Serie B1673
- 11 SepWPisa Italy Serie B1611
- 6 SepDVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1600
- 29 AugLCesena Italy Serie B1607
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 7 /6 | 52.6 | <1% | 10% | 3% | 9th |
| Virtus Entella | 6 /6 | 43.3 | 0% | 1% | 26% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Padova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1708
Virtus Entella · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1739
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Padova: balanced profile (how Nicola Antonio Calabro plays) · Virtus Entella: balanced profile (how Andrea Chiappella plays)