Serie B · Regular Season - 11
Padova vs Empoli
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Padova host Empoli on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Padova 47%, draw 28%, Empoli 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Padova €850K, Empoli €615K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Padova goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Padova 1689 · Empoli 1637
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Padova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1725
Empoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1721
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Padova
15th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctLVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1674
- 11 OctLCarrarese Italy Serie B1713
- 19 SepLPalermo Italy Serie B1646
- 12 SepWAscoli Italy Serie B1677
- 6 SepLCremonese Italy Serie B1734
Empoli
14th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctDAscoli Italy Serie B1629
- 10 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1629
- 20 SepLModena Italy Serie B1651
- 11 SepLArezzo Italy Serie B1668
- 5 SepWCarrarese Italy Serie B1652
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 7 /7 | 49.6 | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9th |
| Empoli | 7 /7 | 45.4 | 0% | 2% | 22% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Padova: balanced profile (how A. Calabro plays) · Empoli: direct (how Matteo Andreoletti plays)