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Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Padova 0–2 Carrarese

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua

Padova crestPadovaTeam 1688
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Carrarese crestCarrareseTeam 1616

Match story

Padova · draw · Carrarese

Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 24%

Live chances: Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Padova 48%, draw 28%, Carrarese 24%2' · 0–0 · Padova 48%, draw 28%, Carrarese 24%4' · 0–0 · Padova 48%, draw 28%, Carrarese 24%5' · 0–0 · Padova 48%, draw 28%, Carrarese 24%6' · 0–0 · Padova 48%, draw 28%, Carrarese 24%7' · 0–0 · Padova 48%, draw 29%, Carrarese 24%8' · 0–0 · Padova 47%, draw 29%, Carrarese 24%9' · 0–0 · Padova 47%, draw 29%, Carrarese 24%10' · 0–0 · Padova 47%, draw 29%, Carrarese 24%11' · 0–0 · Padova 47%, draw 29%, Carrarese 24%12' · 0–0 · Padova 47%, draw 29%, Carrarese 24%13' · 0–0 · Padova 46%, draw 30%, Carrarese 24%14' · 0–0 · Padova 46%, draw 30%, Carrarese 24%15' · 0–1 · Padova 26%, draw 27%, Carrarese 47%16' · 0–1 · Padova 26%, draw 27%, Carrarese 47%17' · 0–1 · Padova 26%, draw 27%, Carrarese 47%18' · 0–1 · Padova 25%, draw 27%, Carrarese 47%19' · 0–1 · Padova 25%, draw 27%, Carrarese 48%20' · 0–1 · Padova 25%, draw 27%, Carrarese 48%21' · 0–1 · Padova 25%, draw 27%, Carrarese 48%22' · 0–1 · Padova 24%, draw 27%, Carrarese 48%23' · 0–1 · Padova 24%, draw 27%, Carrarese 49%24' · 0–1 · Padova 24%, draw 27%, Carrarese 49%25' · 0–1 · Padova 23%, draw 27%, Carrarese 49%26' · 0–1 · Padova 23%, draw 28%, Carrarese 49%27' · 0–1 · Padova 23%, draw 28%, Carrarese 49%28' · 0–1 · Padova 23%, draw 28%, Carrarese 50%29' · 0–1 · Padova 22%, draw 28%, Carrarese 50%30' · 0–1 · Padova 22%, draw 28%, Carrarese 50%31' · 0–1 · Padova 22%, draw 28%, Carrarese 51%32' · 0–1 · Padova 21%, draw 28%, Carrarese 51%33' · 0–1 · Padova 21%, draw 28%, Carrarese 51%34' · 0–1 · Padova 21%, draw 28%, Carrarese 51%35' · 0–1 · Padova 20%, draw 28%, Carrarese 52%36' · 0–1 · Padova 20%, draw 28%, Carrarese 52%37' · 0–1 · Padova 20%, draw 28%, Carrarese 52%38' · 0–1 · Padova 19%, draw 28%, Carrarese 53%39' · 0–1 · Padova 19%, draw 28%, Carrarese 53%40' · 0–1 · Padova 19%, draw 28%, Carrarese 53%41' · 0–1 · Padova 18%, draw 28%, Carrarese 54%42' · 0–1 · Padova 18%, draw 28%, Carrarese 54%43' · 0–1 · Padova 18%, draw 28%, Carrarese 54%44' · 0–1 · Padova 17%, draw 28%, Carrarese 55%45' · 0–1 · Padova 17%, draw 28%, Carrarese 55%45+1' · 0–1 · Padova 17%, draw 28%, Carrarese 55%HT · 0–1 · Padova 16%, draw 28%, Carrarese 56%46' · 0–1 · Padova 16%, draw 28%, Carrarese 56%47' · 0–1 · Padova 15%, draw 28%, Carrarese 57%48' · 0–1 · Padova 15%, draw 28%, Carrarese 57%49' · 0–1 · Padova 15%, draw 28%, Carrarese 57%50' · 0–1 · Padova 14%, draw 28%, Carrarese 58%51' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 9%, Carrarese 89%52' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 9%, Carrarese 89%53' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 8%, Carrarese 90%54' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 8%, Carrarese 90%55' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 8%, Carrarese 90%56' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 8%, Carrarese 91%57' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 7%, Carrarese 91%58' · 0–2 · Padova 2%, draw 7%, Carrarese 91%59' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 7%, Carrarese 92%60' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 7%, Carrarese 92%61' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 6%, Carrarese 92%62' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 6%, Carrarese 93%63' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 6%, Carrarese 93%64' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 6%, Carrarese 93%65' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 5%, Carrarese 94%66' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 5%, Carrarese 94%67' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 5%, Carrarese 94%68' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 5%, Carrarese 94%69' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 5%, Carrarese 95%70' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 4%, Carrarese 95%71' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 4%, Carrarese 95%72' · 0–2 · Padova 1%, draw 4%, Carrarese 96%73' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 4%, Carrarese 96%74' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 3%, Carrarese 96%75' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 3%, Carrarese 96%76' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 3%, Carrarese 97%77' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 3%, Carrarese 97%78' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 3%, Carrarese 97%79' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 2%, Carrarese 97%80' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 2%, Carrarese 98%81' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 2%, Carrarese 98%82' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 2%, Carrarese 98%83' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 2%, Carrarese 98%84' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 1%, Carrarese 98%85' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 1%, Carrarese 99%86' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 1%, Carrarese 99%87' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 1%, Carrarese 99%88' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 1%, Carrarese 99%89' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 1%, Carrarese 99%90' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Padova 0%, draw 0%, Carrarese 100%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Padova 48% to win: Carrarese won.

  1. 14'Carrarese:Tommaso Rubino 1735 +16* assist Gabriele parlanti 1742 +28*
  2. 40'Carrarese:Filippo Oliana 1689 +40*
  3. 45'Padova:Gabriele Artistico 1671 −8* for Mattia Bortolussi 1547 −10*
  4. 45'Carrarese:G. Marconi 1495 +8* for Fabio abiuso 1666 +1*
  5. 51'Padova:Gianluca Caprari 1705 −12*
  6. 51'Carrarese:Jonas Rouhi 1741 +20* assist Niccolò Belloni 1435 +109*
  7. 56'Padova:Marco Pompetti 1725 −8* for Gianluca Caprari 1705 −12*
  8. 56'Padova:Francesco Di Mariano 1630 −10* for Matteo Cocchi 1902 −20*
  9. 60'Carrarese:Luka Topalovic 1375 +6* for Tommaso Rubino 1735 +16*
  10. 62'Carrarese:Matthias Braunöder 1713 +7*
  11. 67'Padova:Nicolas Galazzi 1671 −8* for Pietro Fusi 1654 −9*
  12. 72'Carrarese:Jacopo Martini 1333 +17* for Nicolas Schiavi 1609 +7*
  13. 72'Carrarese:T. Guercio 1661 +2* for Jonas Rouhi 1741 +20*
  14. 79'Padova:Alexander Seghetti 1416 −8* for Luca Moro 1674 −8*
  15. 80'Carrarese:Niccolò Belloni 1435 +109*
  16. 82'Carrarese:Gabriele parlanti 1742 +28*
  17. 90+3'Carrarese:Nicolo Cudrig 1453 −7* for Gabriele parlanti 1742 +28*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations3-5-2
GA. Sorrentino1708−8*
DAlessandro Dellavalle1778−12*
DF. Sgarbi1725−9*
DM. Lovato1744−8*
MA. Capelli1586−9*
MP. Fusi1654−9*
ME. Zuelli1758−9*
MG. Caprari1705−12*
MM. Cocchi1902−20*
FM. Bortolussi1547−10*
FL. Moro1674−8*
CN. Calabro1704−8*
GS. Pizzignacco1752+26*
DF. Ruggeri1699+39*
DF. Oliana1689+40*
DF. Reale1461+106*
MN. Belloni1435+109*
MG. Parlanti1742+28*
MNicolás Schiavi1609+7*
MM. Braunöder1713+7*
MJ. Rouhi1741+20*
FF. Abiuso1666+1*
FT. Rubino1735+16*
CG. Pagliuca1753+14*
Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 24%(Padova · draw · Carrarese)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Padova €942K, Carrarese €926K.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Serie B): Padova ranked #18 of 21, Carrarese #1.
  • Only 2 of Carrarese's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Padova

10th in Serie B · 7 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLPalermo 1646
  • 12 SepWAscoli 1677
  • 6 SepLCremonese 1734
  • 29 AugDHellas Verona 1738
  • 23 AugWPisa 1675

Carrarese

20th in Serie B · 1 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLBenevento 1609
  • 12 SepLCatanzaro 1589
  • 5 SepLEmpoli 1646
  • 29 AugDAscoli 1638
  • 22 AugLMantova 1689

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Padova7 /554.5<1%15%2%7th
Carrarese1 /540.10%<1%43%19th
Padova
Carrarese

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Sorrentino
A. Sorrentino

Padova · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1715

Nicolás Schiavi
Nicolás Schiavi

Carrarese · +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1602

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nicola Antonio Calabro

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Gabriele Cioffi

Coach DNA: direct · dribble-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Padova: balanced profile (how Nicola Antonio Calabro plays) · Carrarese: balanced profile (how Gabriele Cioffi plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.