Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
Pacific FC 0–2 Atlético Ottawa
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Westhills Stadium, Langford
Pacific FCTeam 1301Atlético OttawaTeam 1502We gave Atlético Ottawa 46% to win: they did.
- 1'Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau –Atlético Ottawa:Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau –
- Juan David Quintana Echeverry –6'Pacific FC:Juan David Quintana Echeverry –
- 17'Joaquim Coulanges –Atlético Ottawa:Joaquim Coulanges –
- Aidan Daniels –28'Pacific FC:Aidan Daniels –
- 38'Tim Arnaud –Atlético Ottawa:Tim Arnaud –
- 45'G. Antinoro – for Kamron Habibullah –Atlético Ottawa:G. Antinoro – for Kamron Habibullah –
- 45'Jean-Aniel Assi – for Tim Arnaud –Atlético Ottawa:Jean-Aniel Assi – for Tim Arnaud –
- Marco Bustos – for Aidan Daniels –62'Pacific FC:Marco Bustos – for Aidan Daniels –
- Christian Greco-Taylor – for Juan David Quintana Echeverry –62'Pacific FC:Christian Greco-Taylor – for Juan David Quintana Echeverry –
- 64'Ballou Tabla – assist Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau –Atlético Ottawa:Ballou Tabla – assist Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau –
- Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt – for Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi –70'Pacific FC:Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt – for Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi –
- Marley Edwards – for J. Belluz –70'Pacific FC:Marley Edwards – for J. Belluz –
- Alejandro Diaz – for R. Kratt –75'Pacific FC:Alejandro Diaz – for R. Kratt –
- 77'Diego Gutiérrez –Atlético Ottawa:Diego Gutiérrez –
- Christian Greco-Taylor –78'Pacific FC:Christian Greco-Taylor –
- 79'Emiliano·García –Atlético Ottawa:Emiliano·García –
- 79'Juan Castro – for Emiliano·García –Atlético Ottawa:Juan Castro – for Emiliano·García –
- 79'Ralph Khoury – for Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau –Atlético Ottawa:Ralph Khoury – for Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau –
- 90+2'Tyr Walker – for Ballou Tabla –Atlético Ottawa:Tyr Walker – for Ballou Tabla –
Before kick-off (provisional): 27% · 28% · 46%(Pacific FC · draw · Atlético Ottawa)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Pacific FC €130K, Atlético Ottawa €176K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Canadian Premier League): Pacific FC ranked #1 of 7, Atlético Ottawa #5.
- Pacific FC's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.2 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Pacific FC
8th in Canadian Premier League · 14 pts from 25
- 7 OctLForge Canada Premier League1308
- 4 OctLSupra du Quebec Canada Premier League1335
- 27 SepWYork United Canada Premier League1256
- 20 SepDVancouver FC Canada Premier League1278
- 13 SepLCavalry FC Canada Premier League1244
Atlético Ottawa
3rd in Canadian Premier League · 40 pts from 25
- 30 SepWCavalry FC Canada Premier League1444
- 26 SepWHFX Wanderers FC Canada Premier League1393
- 20 SepLSupra du Quebec Canada Premier League1403
- 12 SepLForge Canada Premier League1450
- 5 SepDPacific FC Canada Premier League1452
Season outlook
From the Canadian Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific FC | 14 /25 | 16.7 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 8th |
| Atlético Ottawa | 40 /25 | 44.2 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pacific FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1236
Atlético Ottawa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1644
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Pacific FC: balanced profile (how Terry Dunfield plays) · Atlético Ottawa: balanced profile (how Gustavo José da Silva Leal plays)