League One · Regular Season - 12
Oxford United vs Wigan
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Oxford United host Wigan on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oxford United 52%, draw 26%, Wigan 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oxford United €982K, Wigan €416K.
- Oxford United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oxford United goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Oxford United 1827 · Wigan 1717
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oxford United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2094
Wigan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1770
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oxford United
8th in League One · 15 pts from 8
- 15 OctDMansfield Town England League One1814
- 10 OctWNotts County England League One1831
- 6 OctDExeter City England EFL Trophy1627
- 19 SepDCambridge United England League One1811
- 12 SepWBurton Albion England League One1780
Wigan
24th in League One · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctWReading England League One1611
- 10 OctLStevenage England League One1615
- 22 SepWBlackpool England EFL Trophy1655
- 19 SepLWycombe England League One1706
- 12 SepDSheffield Wednesday England League One1697
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 15 /8 | 70.6 | 8% | 37% | <1% | 3rd |
| Wigan | 7 /9 | 50.2 | 0% | <1% | 38% | 23rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oxford United: balanced profile (how Aaron James Ramsey plays) · Wigan: balanced profile (how Gary Robert Caldwell plays)