FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Oxford United vs Stevenage
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Oxford United host Stevenage on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oxford United 54%, draw 26%, Stevenage 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oxford United €1.4M, Stevenage €344K.
- Oxford United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oxford United goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
Team Elo: Oxford United 1853 · Stevenage 1741
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oxford United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2115
Stevenage · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1841
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oxford United
3rd in League One · 22 pts from 11
- 27 OctWStockport County England League One1838
- 24 OctDBradford England League One1841
- 20 OctWWigan England League One1860
- 15 OctDMansfield Town England League One1814
- 10 OctWNotts County England League One1831
Stevenage
13th in League One · 15 pts from 11
- 24 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1761
- 20 OctWPlymouth England League One1719
- 17 OctLBradford England League One1740
- 10 OctWWigan England League One1724
- 6 OctWLeicester England EFL Trophy1631
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oxford United: balanced profile (how A. Ramsey plays) · Stevenage: direct (how A. Revell plays)