League One · Regular Season - 13
Oxford United vs Bradford
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Oxford United host Bradford on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oxford United 45%, draw 28%, Bradford 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oxford United €982K, Bradford €484K.
- Style contrast in discipline (League One): Oxford United rank #2 of 24, Bradford #23.
- Oxford United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Bradford are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oxford United goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Oxford United 1827 · Bradford 1801
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oxford United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2094
Bradford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1873
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oxford United
8th in League One · 15 pts from 8
- 15 OctDMansfield Town England League One1814
- 10 OctWNotts County England League One1831
- 6 OctDExeter City England EFL Trophy1627
- 19 SepDCambridge United England League One1811
- 12 SepWBurton Albion England League One1780
Bradford
1st in League One · 20 pts from 10
- 17 OctWStevenage England League One1819
- 10 OctDLeyton Orient England League One1823
- 6 OctWRotherham England EFL Trophy1625
- 3 OctDReading England League One1823
- 22 SepWNewcastle United U21 England EFL Trophy1731
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 15 /8 | 70.6 | 8% | 37% | <1% | 3rd |
| Bradford | 20 /10 | 70.5 | 7% | 35% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oxford United: balanced profile (how Aaron James Ramsey plays) · Bradford: balanced profile (how Michael James Duff plays)