Segunda División · Regular Season - 12
Oviedo vs Las Palmas
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Oviedo host Las Palmas on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oviedo 52%, draw 26%, Las Palmas 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oviedo €1.8M, Las Palmas €870K.
- Segunda División: Carlos Domínguez is the highest-rated defender (2141).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oviedo goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Oviedo 1829 · Las Palmas 1737
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oviedo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1906
Las Palmas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1847
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oviedo
9th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 10
- 18 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1856
- 12 OctWEibar Spain Segunda Division1813
- 2 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1839
- 27 SepWSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1822
- 20 SepLSabadell Spain Segunda Division1796
Las Palmas
16th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 10
- 17 OctLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1689
- 11 OctLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1771
- 4 OctDValladolid Spain Segunda Division1730
- 27 SepLEibar Spain Segunda Division1791
- 20 SepLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1801
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 17 /10 | 65.6 | 2% | 19% | <1% | 8th |
| Las Palmas | 11 /10 | 54.0 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oviedo: balanced profile (how Julián Calero Fernández plays) · Las Palmas: balanced profile (how Juan Manuel Rodríguez Pérez plays)