Segunda División · Regular Season - 14
Oviedo vs Girona
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Oviedo host Girona on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Oviedo 39%, draw 29%, Girona 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Oviedo €1.5M, Girona €3.3M.
- Home advantage makes Oviedo the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Segunda División: Carlos Domínguez is the highest-rated defender (2135).
- Segunda División: Fran Beltrán is the highest-rated midfielder (2062).
- Girona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Oviedo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Oviedo 1877 · Girona 1942
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Oviedo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1913
Girona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1996
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Oviedo
9th in Segunda División · 18 pts from 11
- 29 OctDNumancia Spain Copa del Rey1772
- 24 OctDAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1845
- 18 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1856
- 12 OctWEibar Spain Segunda Division1813
- 2 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1839
Girona
4th in Segunda División · 21 pts from 11
- 24 OctWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1933
- 18 OctWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1901
- 12 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1965
- 4 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1914
- 25 SepWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1899
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 18 /11 | 68.4 | 5% | 31% | 0% | 7th |
| Girona | 21 /11 | 75.2 | 23% | 70% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Oviedo: balanced profile (how Julián Calero plays) · Girona: possession-based (how Quique Alvarez plays)