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Segunda División · Regular Season - 9

Oviedo 3–1 Eibar

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo

Oviedo crestOviedoTeam 1791
3–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Eibar crestEibarTeam 1904

Match story

Oviedo · draw · Eibar

Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%

Live chances: Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Oviedo 36%, draw 29%, Eibar 35%2' · 0–0 · Oviedo 36%, draw 29%, Eibar 35%3' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 15%4' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 15%5' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 15%6' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 15%7' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 15%8' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%9' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%10' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%11' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%12' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%13' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%14' · 1–0 · Oviedo 64%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%15' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 14%16' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%17' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%18' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%19' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%20' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%21' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%22' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%23' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 13%24' · 1–0 · Oviedo 65%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%25' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%26' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%27' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%28' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%29' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%30' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 12%31' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%32' · 1–0 · Oviedo 66%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%33' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%34' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%35' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%36' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%37' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 11%38' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 10%39' · 1–0 · Oviedo 67%, draw 22%, Eibar 10%40' · 1–0 · Oviedo 68%, draw 22%, Eibar 10%41' · 1–0 · Oviedo 68%, draw 22%, Eibar 10%42' · 1–0 · Oviedo 68%, draw 22%, Eibar 10%43' · 1–0 · Oviedo 68%, draw 22%, Eibar 10%44' · 1–0 · Oviedo 68%, draw 22%, Eibar 9%45' · 2–0 · Oviedo 92%, draw 6%, Eibar 2%45+1' · 2–0 · Oviedo 92%, draw 6%, Eibar 2%45+2' · 2–0 · Oviedo 92%, draw 6%, Eibar 2%45+3' · 2–0 · Oviedo 92%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%45+4' · 2–0 · Oviedo 92%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%HT · 2–0 · Oviedo 92%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%46' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%47' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%48' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%49' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%50' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%51' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 6%, Eibar 1%52' · 2–0 · Oviedo 93%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%53' · 2–0 · Oviedo 94%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%54' · 2–0 · Oviedo 94%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%55' · 2–0 · Oviedo 94%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%56' · 2–0 · Oviedo 94%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%57' · 2–0 · Oviedo 94%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%58' · 2–0 · Oviedo 95%, draw 5%, Eibar 1%59' · 2–0 · Oviedo 95%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%60' · 2–0 · Oviedo 95%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%61' · 2–0 · Oviedo 95%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%62' · 2–0 · Oviedo 95%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%63' · 2–0 · Oviedo 96%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%64' · 2–0 · Oviedo 96%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%65' · 2–0 · Oviedo 96%, draw 4%, Eibar 1%66' · 2–0 · Oviedo 96%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%67' · 2–0 · Oviedo 96%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%68' · 2–0 · Oviedo 96%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%69' · 2–0 · Oviedo 97%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%70' · 2–0 · Oviedo 97%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%71' · 2–0 · Oviedo 97%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%72' · 2–0 · Oviedo 97%, draw 3%, Eibar 0%73' · 2–0 · Oviedo 97%, draw 2%, Eibar 0%74' · 2–0 · Oviedo 97%, draw 2%, Eibar 0%75' · 2–1 · Oviedo 80%, draw 17%, Eibar 3%76' · 2–1 · Oviedo 81%, draw 17%, Eibar 3%77' · 2–1 · Oviedo 81%, draw 16%, Eibar 2%78' · 2–1 · Oviedo 82%, draw 16%, Eibar 2%79' · 2–1 · Oviedo 83%, draw 15%, Eibar 2%80' · 2–1 · Oviedo 83%, draw 15%, Eibar 2%81' · 2–1 · Oviedo 84%, draw 14%, Eibar 2%82' · 2–1 · Oviedo 85%, draw 14%, Eibar 1%83' · 2–1 · Oviedo 85%, draw 13%, Eibar 1%84' · 2–1 · Oviedo 86%, draw 13%, Eibar 1%85' · 2–1 · Oviedo 87%, draw 12%, Eibar 1%86' · 3–1 · Oviedo 99%, draw 1%, Eibar 0%87' · 3–1 · Oviedo 99%, draw 1%, Eibar 0%88' · 3–1 · Oviedo 99%, draw 1%, Eibar 0%89' · 3–1 · Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0%90' · 3–1 · Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0%90+1' · 3–1 · Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0%90+2' · 3–1 · Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0%90+3' · 3–1 · Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0%90+4' · 3–1 · Oviedo 100%, draw 0%, Eibar 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Oviedo 36% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Oviedo:Mikel Goti Lopez 1891 +65 assist Enzo Pérez Miranda 1746 +77
  2. 12'Eibar:Unai Elgezabal Udondo 1950 −11
  3. 21'Oviedo:David Jimenez 1631 +30
  4. 42'Eibar:Anaitz Arbilla 1840 −15
  5. 45'Oviedo:Carlos Dominguez 2119 +28
  6. 45'Eibar:Peru Nolaskoain 1887 −11* for Unai Elgezabal Udondo 1950 −11
  7. 53'Oviedo:Carlos Dominguez 2119 +28
  8. 59'Eibar:Iván Gil 1800 −1 for Jon Magunazelaia 1774 0
  9. 59'Eibar:Pejiño 1696 −2 for jon guruzeta 1922 −8
  10. 65'Oviedo:José Luis Morales 1329 −3* for Víctor García Mingo 1658 +29
  11. 65'Oviedo:Nacho Vidal 1901 +3 for David Jimenez 1631 +30
  12. 65'Oviedo:Daniel Villahermosa 1908 +6 for Youness Lachhab Didi 1878 +17
  13. 72'Oviedo:Pablo Saenz 1930 +4 for Enzo Pérez Miranda 1746 +77
  14. 72'Eibar:Javier Martón Ansó 1872 −1 for Malcom Ares 1908 −6
  15. 74'Eibar:Iván Gil 1800 −1 assist Javier Martón Ansó 1872 −1
  16. 79'Oviedo:Dani Calvo 1957 +16
  17. 81'Eibar:Lucas Nuñez Ramirez 1766 −8* for Ander Madariaga Susaeta 1949 −10
  18. 83'Oviedo:David Costas 1875 −9* for Mikel Goti Lopez 1891 +65
  19. 85'Oviedo:Carlos Dominguez 2119 +28 assist Aritz Aldasoro 1905 +58*
  20. 90+3'Oviedo:Daniel Villahermosa 1908 +6
  21. 90+4'Eibar:Lucas Nuñez Ramirez 1766 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GJon Mikel1996−16
DÁlvaro Rodríguez1800−4
DUnai Elgezabal1950−11
DAnaitz Arbilla1840−15
DJuan Bernat1923−15
MAnder Madariaga1949−10
MAleix Garrido1928−10
MMalcom Adu1908−6
MJon Magunazelaia17740
MJon Guruzeta1922−8
FJon Bautista1853−10
CJokin Arambarri18090
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(Oviedo · draw · Eibar)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Oviedo €1.7M, Eibar €1.1M.
  • Home advantage made Oviedo the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Segunda División: Carlos Domínguez was the highest-rated defender (2091).
  • Eibar had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Oviedo

10th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 8

  • 2 OctLEldense 1839
  • 27 SepWSporting Gijon 1822
  • 20 SepLSabadell 1796
  • 13 SepWValladolid 1731
  • 6 SepDBurgos 1733

Eibar

1st in Segunda División · 21 pts from 8

  • 3 OctWAlbacete 1885
  • 27 SepWLas Palmas 1870
  • 19 SepWEldense 1843
  • 14 SepWCelta de Vigo II 1818
  • 6 SepWGranada CF 1816

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Oviedo11 /862.21%11%1%8th
Eibar21 /876.128%75%0%1st
Oviedo
Eibar

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Mikel Goti
Mikel Goti

Oviedo · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1826

Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido

Eibar · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1938

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Julián Calero Fernández

Coach DNA: direct

Jokin Arambarri Arrizabalaga

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Oviedo: balanced profile (how Julián Calero Fernández plays) · Eibar: balanced profile (how Jokin Arambarri Arrizabalaga plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.